Amsterdamsche FC vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
16/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KNVB Beker - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.332.96
Ball Possession
26%74%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
59% (117/198)87% (498/571)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.332.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.79
Total shots
718
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
415
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
1433
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
59% (117/198)87% (498/571)
Long passes
31% (19/61)61% (19/31)
Passes in final third
42% (32/77)77% (165/215)
Crosses
20% (2/10)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.03
Throw-ins
1729
Fouls
1510
Tackles
72% (21/29)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5151
Clearances
4019
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.791.00
Goals prevented
-1.210.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Gonzalez R. , Pereira B. (A),
  • 6', van Zetten G. , Nolet D. ,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Ederveen S. , Lucke B. (A),
  • 38', Shenkman N. 🟨,
  • 41', Benninga N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 63', de Laat S. , Ouaissa S. ,
  • 64', Misidjan V. , Onal B. ,
  • 65', Lee I. , Klopper M. ,
  • 73', van Crooij V. , Lebreton N. ,
  • 78', Willems J. , Fonville D. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Shiogai K. , Gonzalez R. (A),
  • 85', 1 - 3, Shiogai K. , Onal B. (A),
  • 87', Ederveen S. , van der Greft J. ,
  • 87', Markiet G. , Platje M. ,
  • 90', Platje M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Klopper M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Onal B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Amsterdamsche FC
9.7%
Draw
16.3%
NEC Nijmegen
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13% 18.6% 68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4% 17.7% 72%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC Nijmegen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Amsterdamsche FC - NEC Nijmegen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.64
    (7.11)
    5.81
    (4.95)
    1.26
    (1.35)
    7.1%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Amsterdamsche FC - NEC Nijmegen?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. AFC will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Nijmegen (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - AFC (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. AFC (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nijmegen (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • AFC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nijmegen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Nijmegen is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, AFC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, AFC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Amsterdamsche FC
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    13.12.2025 Telstar - NEC Nijmegen 2:2
    07.12.2025 Volendam - NEC Nijmegen 2:3
    23.11.2025 Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen 2:4
    09.11.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Groningen 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1HelmondBye
    4ByeZwolle
    8ByeAZ Alkmaar
    9AalsmeerHZVV Hoogeveen2 : 4
    10ByeExcelsior Maassluis
    12ByeExcelsior
    16ByeAjax
    17WalcherenNoordwijk1 : 3
    18ByeHardenberg
    20ByeOss
    24ByeUtrecht
    25USV HerculesGOES4 : 0
    26ByeSpakenburg
    27ErpVV DOVO0 : 4
    28TECSV Poortugaal3 : 2
    29RaalteHVV Hollandia4 : 1
    30SteDoCoDVS '33 Ermelo0 : 2
    32ByeTwente
    33SV JulianaMeerssen0 : 2
    34GemertHuizen2 : 1
    36ByeSittard
    37Harkemase BoysSparta Nijkerk0 : 1
    38KloetingeDVO3 : 0
    40ByeAlmere City
    41HoekRijnvogels6 : 4
    42Blauw GeelVVOG2 : 1
    44ByeEindhoven FC
    45LisseWestlandia1 : 0
    46VV ZwaluwenUrk1 : 2
    48ByeTelstar
    49VVSBCapelle1 : 2
    50ScheveningenStaphorst2 : 0
    52ByeRoda
    56ByeG.A. Eagles
    57NAC BredaBye
    60ByeHeracles
    61De ForestersVV Scherpenzeel2 : 3
    62HoogeveenVelocitas6 : 1
    64ByeFC Emmen
    65TOGBUDI'191 : 3
    66SportlustSportclub 254 : 1
    67Kozakken BoysKampong4 : 0
    68ByeBarendrecht
    69De TreffersBye
    70ByeRKAV Volendam
    72ByeMaastricht
    73EemdijkDongen4 : 0
    74EmmenExcelsior 312 : 5
    76ByeAFC
    77Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    80ByeNijmegen
    81Willem IIBye
    84ByeDordrecht
    85Sparta RotterdamBye
    88ByeGroningen
    89Quick BoysBye
    92ByeFC Volendam
    93HeinoGroene Ster3 : 4
    94IJsselmeervogelsGenemuiden0 : 1
    95HalsterenACV Assen3 : 1
    96AWCASWH0 : 2
    97Den BoschBye
    100ByeDen Haag
    101KatwijkBye
    104ByeVitesse
    105PSVBye
    109ADO 20 HeemskerkRoosendaal0 : 2
    110ByeGVVV
    112ByeDe Graafschap
    113FeyenoordBye
    117VenloBye
    120ByeHeerenveen
    121Olde VesteHSC '210 : 3
    122't ZandMierlo-Hout4 : 2
    123HFCBye
    124UNAARC1 : 2
    125WaalwijkBye
    128ByeCambuur

    1/64-finals
    1HelmondBye
    2ByeZwolle
    4ByeAZ Alkmaar
    5HZVV HoogeveenExcelsior Maassluis1 : 5
    6ByeExcelsior
    8ByeAjax
    9NoordwijkHardenberg0 : 2
    10ByeOss
    12ByeUtrecht
    13USV HerculesSpakenburg1 : 3
    14VV DOVOTEC1 : 0
    15RaalteDVS '33 Ermelo1 : 0
    16ByeTwente
    17MeerssenGemert0 : 1
    18ByeSittard
    19Sparta NijkerkKloetinge4 : 3
    20ByeAlmere City
    21HoekBlauw Geel1 : 0
    22ByeEindhoven FC
    23LisseUrk4 : 1
    24ByeTelstar
    25CapelleScheveningen5 : 1
    26ByeRoda
    28ByeG.A. Eagles
    29NAC BredaBye
    30ByeHeracles
    31VV ScherpenzeelHoogeveen3 : 4
    32ByeFC Emmen
    33UDI'19Sportlust0 : 1
    34Kozakken BoysBarendrecht2 : 3
    35De TreffersRKAV Volendam6 : 3
    36ByeMaastricht
    37EemdijkExcelsior 312 : 1
    38ByeAFC
    39Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    40ByeNijmegen
    41Willem IIBye
    42ByeDordrecht
    43Sparta RotterdamBye
    44ByeGroningen
    45Quick BoysBye
    46ByeFC Volendam
    47Groene SterGenemuiden1 : 2
    48HalsterenASWH3 : 2
    49Den BoschBye
    50ByeDen Haag
    51KatwijkBye
    52ByeVitesse
    53PSVBye
    55RoosendaalGVVV0 : 1
    56ByeDe Graafschap
    57FeyenoordBye
    59VenloBye
    60ByeHeerenveen
    61HSC '21't Zand3 : 1
    62HFCARC5 : 0
    63WaalwijkBye
    64ByeCambuur

    1/32-finals
    1HelmondZwolle1 : 4
    2ByeAZ Alkmaar
    3Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior1 : 0
    4ByeAjax
    5HardenbergOss0 : 2
    6ByeUtrecht
    7SpakenburgVV DOVO5 : 1
    8RaalteTwente1 : 4
    9GemertSittard0 : 1
    10Sparta NijkerkAlmere City0 : 2
    11HoekEindhoven FC3 : 2
    12LisseTelstar0 : 5
    13CapelleRoda1 : 5
    14ByeG.A. Eagles
    15NAC BredaHeracles1 : 4
    16HoogeveenFC Emmen1 : 0
    17SportlustBarendrecht1 : 0
    18De TreffersMaastricht3 : 1
    19EemdijkAFC1 : 2
    20Rijnsburgse BoysNijmegen2 : 3
    21Willem IIDordrecht7 : 0
    22Sparta RotterdamGroningen5 : 2
    23Quick BoysFC Volendam1 : 2
    24GenemuidenHalsteren1 : 0
    25Den BoschDen Haag4 : 3
    26KatwijkVitesse2 : 1
    27PSVBye
    28GVVVDe Graafschap4 : 2
    29FeyenoordBye
    30VenloHeerenveen0 : 3
    31HSC '21HFC3 : 0
    32WaalwijkCambuur3 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ZwolleAZ Alkmaar1 : 3
    2Excelsior MaassluisAjax2 : 7
    3OssUtrecht0 : 2
    4SpakenburgTwente3 : 6
    5SittardAlmere City2 : 3
    6HoekTelstar1 : 4
    7RodaG.A. Eagles1 : 2
    8HeraclesHoogeveen4 : 1
    9SportlustDe Treffers0 : 1
    10AFCNijmegen1 : 3
    11Willem IISparta Rotterdam1 : 5
    12FC VolendamGenemuiden2 : 0
    13Den BoschKatwijk2 : 1
    14PSVGVVV3 : 0
    15FeyenoordHeerenveen2 : 3
    16HSC '21Waalwijk0 : 9

    1/8-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarAjax6 : 0
    2UtrechtTwente1 : 2
    3Almere CityTelstar1 : 3
    4G.A. EaglesHeracles3 : 2
    5De TreffersNijmegen1 : 2
    6Sparta RotterdamFC Volendam1 : 2
    7Den BoschPSV1 : 4
    8HeerenveenWaalwijk3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarTwente2 : 1
    2TelstarG.A. Eagles2 : 1
    3NijmegenFC Volendam1 : 0
    4PSVHeerenveen4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarTelstar
    2NijmegenPSV

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2