Ancona vs L Aquila – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Rovinelli E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Ancona
38.5%
Draw
27.8%
L Aquila
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 26.9% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 27.4% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Ancona - L Aquila Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.39)
    3.25
    (3.38)
    2.69
    (2.58)
    10.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
    • Ancona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • L Aquila is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ancona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ancona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ancona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
    Latest results of Ancona
    07.12.2025 Sammaurese - Ancona 0:3
    03.12.2025 UniPomezia - Ancona 1:2
    30.11.2025 Ancona - Fossombrone 1:2
    23.11.2025 Teramo - Ancona 3:0
    19.11.2025 Ancona - Valmontone 2:1
    Latest results of L Aquila
    07.12.2025 L Aquila - Ostia Mare 3:0
    30.11.2025 L Aquila - Sammaurese 4:0
    23.11.2025 Notaresco - L Aquila 1:2
    16.11.2025 L Aquila - Fossombrone 3:0
    09.11.2025 Teramo - L Aquila 5:2
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona26194349:163361
    2Ostiamare26186253:173660
    3Teramo26177251:222958
    4L Aquila26145748:331547
    5Atletico Ascoli26129547:272045
    6Vigor Senigallia261010628:25340
    7Giulianova26912533:27639
    8Notaresco Calcio26911629:24538
    9Fossombrone2689920:24-433
    10Unipomezia26881032:34-232
    11Maceratese26931435:38-330
    12Sora26791033:39-630
    13Termoli26512922:26-427
    14Recanatese26561528:48-2021
    15Calcio Chieti26491323:47-2421
    16San Marino Calcio26551622:47-2520
    17Sammaurese26461627:57-3018
    18Castelfidardo26431922:51-2915

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation