AEK Athens vs Anderlecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

OPAP Arena (Athens).

Conference League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.66
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
19	13
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
82% (282/342)	88% (434/496)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.55	0.43
Total shots
19	13
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
11	7
Shots outside the Box
8	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
24	31
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
22	5
Passes
82% (282/342)	88% (434/496)
Long passes
50% (28/56)	44% (15/34)
Passes in final third
71% (74/104)	81% (141/175)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	1.30
Throw-ins
13	13
Fouls
5	22
Tackles
67% (10/15)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
53	37
Clearances
19	26
Interceptions
7	2
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.43	1.55
Goals prevented
0.43	-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Huerta Valera C. S. 🟨,
23', Dolberg K. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Koita A. ⚽, Eliasson N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
46', Ozcan Y. ↓, Augustinsson L. ↑,
46', De Cat N. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Kutesa D. ⚽, Pineda O. (A),
59', Rota L. 🟨,
68', Hazard T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
69', Maamar A. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
73', Pierrot F. ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
73', Eliasson N. ↓, Ljubicic R. ↑,
78', Kutesa D. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
85', Angulo N. 🟨,
88', Koita A. ↓, Vida D. ↑,
90+3', Llansana E. 🟨,
90+8', Augustinsson L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

AEK Athens
42.5%

Draw
27.9%

Anderlecht
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.5%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Athens's form might have worsened.

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

AEK Athens - Anderlecht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.89)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	3.19 ↓ (3.6)	7.2% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Anderlecht?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 24.9% – 69.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Anderlecht has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Anderlecht?

AEK Athens has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against AEK Athens?

Anderlecht has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Anderlecht were as follows:

21.08.2025 Anderlecht - AEK Athens 1:1

Latest results of AEK Athens

24.08.2025 AEK Athens - Panserraikos 2:0 ✺

21.08.2025 Anderlecht - AEK Athens 1:1 ✺

14.08.2025 AEK Athens - Aris Limassol 3:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Aris Limassol - AEK Athens 2:2 ✺

31.07.2025 Hapoel Beer Sheva - AEK Athens 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Anderlecht

21.08.2025 Anderlecht - AEK Athens 1:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Dender EH - Anderlecht 0:2 ✺

14.08.2025 Sheriff Tiraspol - Anderlecht 1:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem 2:3 ✺

07.08.2025 Anderlecht - Sheriff Tiraspol 3:0 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
2	AEK Larnaca	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
3	Celje	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
4	Lausanne	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
5	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Mainz	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
7	Rayo Vallecano	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
8	Rakow	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
9	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Jagiellonia	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
11	Noah	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	AEK Athens FC	2	1	0	1	7:3	4	3
13	Zrinjski	2	1	0	1	5:1	4	3
14	Sparta Prague	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
15	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
16	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	2:1	1	3
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
18	Legia	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
19	Shkendija	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
21	Lincoln Red Imps	2	1	0	1	2:6	-4	3
22	Drita	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
23	Hacken	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
24	KuPS	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
25	Omonia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
26	Shelbourne	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
27	Sigma Olomouc	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
28	Univ. Craiova	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Breidablik	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
30	Rijeka	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
31	Slovan Bratislava	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
32	Hamrun	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
33	Shamrock Rovers	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
34	Dyn. Kyiv	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0
35	SK Rapid	2	0	0	2	1:7	-6	0
36	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	2:9	-7	0

Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)