Result
2:0
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 5 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (282/342) | 88% (434/496) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (282/342) | 88% (434/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 44% (15/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (74/104) | 81% (141/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Huerta Valera C. S. 🟨,
- 23', Dolberg K. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Koita A. ⚽, Eliasson N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
- 46', Ozcan Y. ↓, Augustinsson L. ↑,
- 46', De Cat N. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Kutesa D. ⚽, Pineda O. (A),
- 59', Rota L. 🟨,
- 68', Hazard T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
- 69', Maamar A. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
- 73', Pierrot F. ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
- 73', Eliasson N. ↓, Ljubicic R. ↑,
- 78', Kutesa D. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
- 85', Angulo N. 🟨,
- 88', Koita A. ↓, Vida D. ↑,
- 90+3', Llansana E. 🟨,
- 90+8', Augustinsson L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AEK Athens
42.5% | Draw
27.9% | Anderlecht
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Athens's form might have worsened.Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
AEK Athens - Anderlecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.89) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
3.19 ↓
(3.6) |
7.2%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Anderlecht?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 24.9% – 69.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Anderlecht (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Anderlecht has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Anderlecht?
AEK Athens has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against AEK Athens?
Anderlecht has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Anderlecht were as follows:
21.08.2025
Anderlecht
-
AEK Athens
1:1
Latest results of AEK Athens
Latest results of Anderlecht
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
