AEK Athens vs Anderlecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League AEK Athens - Anderlecht
Result
2:0
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, SportKlub 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.66
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
82% (282/342)88% (434/496)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.43
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2431
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
225
Passes
82% (282/342)88% (434/496)
Long passes
50% (28/56)44% (15/34)
Passes in final third
71% (74/104)81% (141/175)
Crosses
18% (4/22)42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.30
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
522
Tackles
67% (10/15)50% (9/18)
Duels won
5337
Clearances
1926
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.431.55
Goals prevented
0.43-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Huerta Valera C. S. 🟨,
  • 23', Dolberg K. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Koita A. , Eliasson N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Huerta Valera C. S. , Bertaccini A. ,
  • 46', Ozcan Y. , Augustinsson L. ,
  • 46', De Cat N. , Verschaeren Y. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Kutesa D. , Pineda O. (A),
  • 59', Rota L. 🟨,
  • 68', Hazard T. , Stroeykens M. ,
  • 69', Maamar A. , Degreef T. ,
  • 73', Pierrot F. , Jovic L. ,
  • 73', Eliasson N. , Ljubicic R. ,
  • 78', Kutesa D. , Penrice J. ,
  • 85', Angulo N. 🟨,
  • 88', Koita A. , Vida D. ,
  • 90+3', Llansana E. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Augustinsson L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AEK Athens
42.5%
Draw
27.9%
Anderlecht
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 26.7% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 26.5% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Athens's form might have worsened.
  • Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • AEK Athens - Anderlecht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.89)
    3.36
    (3.4)
    3.19
    (3.6)
    7.2%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Anderlecht?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 24.9%69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Anderlecht has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Anderlecht were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Anderlecht - AEK Athens 1:1
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    Latest results of Anderlecht
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2Lech Poznan11004:133
    3Lausanne11003:033
    4Crystal Palace11002:023
    5Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    6Mainz11001:013
    7Jagiellonia11001:013
    8Noah11001:013
    9Drita10101:101
    10KuPS10101:101
    11Hacken00000:000
    12Strasbourg00000:000
    13Sigma Olomouc00000:000
    14Sparta Prague00000:000
    15Slovan Bratislava00000:000
    16Fiorentina00000:000
    17AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    18AEK Larnaca00000:000
    19AEK Athens FC00000:000
    20Shamrock Rovers00000:000
    21Shelbourne00000:000
    22Legia00000:000
    23Aberdeen00000:000
    24Celje00000:000
    25Samsunspor00000:000
    26Shakhtar Donetsk00000:000
    27Rakow00000:000
    28Univ. Craiova00000:000
    29Rijeka10010:1-10
    30Omonia10010:1-10
    31Hamrun10010:1-10
    32Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    33Shkendija10010:2-20
    34SK Rapid10011:4-30
    35Breidablik10010:3-30
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

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