AEK Athens vs Anderlecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, SportKlub 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.66
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
82% (282/342)88% (434/496)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.43
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2431
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
225
Passes
82% (282/342)88% (434/496)
Long passes
50% (28/56)44% (15/34)
Passes in final third
71% (74/104)81% (141/175)
Crosses
18% (4/22)42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.30
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
522
Tackles
67% (10/15)50% (9/18)
Duels won
5337
Clearances
1926
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.431.55
Goals prevented
0.43-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Huerta Valera C. S. 🟨,
  • 23', Dolberg K. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Koita A. , Eliasson N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Huerta Valera C. S. , Bertaccini A. ,
  • 46', Ozcan Y. , Augustinsson L. ,
  • 46', De Cat N. , Verschaeren Y. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Kutesa D. , Pineda O. (A),
  • 59', Rota L. 🟨,
  • 68', Hazard T. , Stroeykens M. ,
  • 69', Maamar A. , Degreef T. ,
  • 73', Pierrot F. , Jovic L. ,
  • 73', Eliasson N. , Ljubicic R. ,
  • 78', Kutesa D. , Penrice J. ,
  • 85', Angulo N. 🟨,
  • 88', Koita A. , Vida D. ,
  • 90+3', Llansana E. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Augustinsson L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AEK Athens
42.5%
Draw
27.9%
Anderlecht
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 26.7% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 26.5% 25%

AEK Athens - Anderlecht Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.18
(1.89)
3.36
(3.4)
3.19
(3.6)
7.2%
(10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Anderlecht?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 24.9%69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Anderlecht has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Anderlecht were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Anderlecht - AEK Athens 1:1
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    Latest results of Anderlecht
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)