Andre Ilagan vs Murphy Cassone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lincoln Challenger Men Andre Ilagan - Murphy Cassone
Result
2:1
14/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
27
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
70%60%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (30/54)67% (28/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (14/23)39% (11/28)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
36% (15/42)44% (24/54)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (17/28)39% (9/23)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
57% (44/77)56% (39/70)
Return Points Won
44% (31/70)43% (33/77)
Total Points Won
51% (75/147)49% (72/147)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)58% (7/12)
Return Games Won
42% (5/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
54% (13/24)46% (11/24)

Chances of winning


Andre Ilagan
31.3%
Murphy Cassone
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 61.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andre Ilagan's form might have worsened.
  • Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murphy Cassone's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andre Ilagan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murphy Cassone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Andre Ilagan - Murphy Cassone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.37)

    1.36
    (1.53)
    7.8%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ilagan is ranked ATP: 396. Cassone is ranked ATP: 176.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ilagan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cassone is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilagan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Andre Ilagan - Murphy Cassone were as follows:
    07.01.2025 Andre Ilagan - Murphy Cassone 0:2
    Latest results of Andre Ilagan
    Latest results of Murphy Cassone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Shah A. (RET.)1 : 1
    2Smith K. (Q)Lassila J. (WC)2 : 0
    3Jodar R.Kingsley C. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wiskandt M. (Q)Hassan B. (5)2 : 0
    5Kypson P. (4)Rosenkranz M.2 : 0
    6Banerjee S. (Alt)Ganesan A. (Q)2 : 1
    7Suresh D. (CO)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    8Perez A.Popko D. (6)2 : 0
    9Monday J. (7)Zink T.2 : 0
    10Zick S. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Alt)0 : 2
    11Wallin O.Mmoh M.0 : 2
    12Krueger M.Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    13Damm M. (WC)Arseneault N. (Q)2 : 1
    14Hara Friend J. D. (CO)Tarvet O.0 : 2
    15Fenty A. (Q)Martin A.0 : 2
    16Ilagan A.Cassone M. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Smith K.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Wiskandt M.2 : 0
    3Kypson P. (4)Banerjee S.2 : 0
    4Suresh D.Perez A.2 : 0
    5Monday J. (7)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    6Mmoh M.Pinnington Jones J. (3)2 : 0
    7Damm M.Tarvet O.2 : 0
    8Martin A.Ilagan A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Jodar R.0 : 2
    2Kypson P. (4)Suresh D.2 : 0
    3Monday J. (7)Mmoh M.2 : 0
    4Damm M.Ilagan A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jodar R.Kypson P. (4)2 : 0
    2Monday J. (7)Damm M.0 : 2

    Final
    1Jodar R.Damm M.