Rio Noguchi vs Andre Ilagan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Winnipeg Challenger Men Rio Noguchi - Andre Ilagan
Result
2:1
08/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
76%67%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (40/65)60% (32/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (9/21)38% (10/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)45% (5/11)
1st Return Points Won
40% (21/53)38% (25/65)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (16/26)57% (12/21)
Break Points Converted
55% (6/11)50% (4/8)
Winners
741
Unforced Errors
2072
Net Points Won
100% (1/1)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
56% (48/85)53% (42/79)
Return Points Won
47% (37/79)44% (37/85)
Total Points Won
52% (85/164)48% (79/164)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)50% (6/12)
Return Games Won
50% (6/12)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
60% (15/25)40% (10/25)

Chances of winning


Rio Noguchi
59.7%
Andre Ilagan
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Rio Noguchi - Andre Ilagan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.5)

    2.29
    (2.48)
    7.6%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Rio Noguchi - Andre Ilagan?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ilagan will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ilagan (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Noguchi is ranked ATP: 222. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 371.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ilagan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Noguchi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noguchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Noguchi - Andre Ilagan were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Andre Ilagan - Rio Noguchi 0:2
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Latest results of Andre Ilagan
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Tudorica A. N. (Q)2 : 0
    2Nakagawa N.Sakamoto R.1 : 2
    3Bouzige M.Gengel M.2 : 0
    4Sell K.Shimizu Y. (5)1 : 2
    5Shimabukuro S. (3)Langmo C.2 : 0
    6Johns G.Chung H. (Q)2 : 1
    7Riedi L. (Q)Jubb P.1 : 2
    8Boulais J. (WC)Hsu Y. H. (7)0 : 2
    9Mejia N. (8)Andrade A.1 : 2
    10Glinka D. (Q)Imamura M.0 : 2
    11Zhou Y.Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1
    12Martin A.Galarneau A. (4)2 : 0
    13Noguchi R. (6)Ilagan A.2 : 1
    14Aguilar J. C. M. (WC)Arseneault N. (Q)1 : 2
    15Miyoshi K.Sekulic P. (PR)2 : 0
    16Moriya H. (Q)Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Sakamoto R.2 : 0
    2Bouzige M.Shimizu Y. (5)0 : 2
    3Shimabukuro S. (3)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Jubb P.Hsu Y. H. (7)0 : 2
    5Andrade A.Imamura M.2 : 0
    6Zhou Y.Martin A.2 : 0
    7Noguchi R. (6)Arseneault N.2 : 0
    8Miyoshi K.Draxl L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Shimizu Y. (5)2 : 0
    2Shimabukuro S. (3)Hsu Y. H. (7)2 : 1
    3Andrade A.Zhou Y.0 : 2
    4Noguchi R. (6)Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Shimabukuro S. (3)2 : 1
    2Zhou Y.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Blockx A. (1)Draxl L. (2)1 : 2