Andre Ilagan vs Sebastian Dominko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Columbus Challenger Men Andre Ilagan - Sebastian Dominko
Result
2:1
16/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
115
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
53%58%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (30/42)80% (37/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
68% (26/38)52% (17/33)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
20% (9/46)29% (12/42)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (16/33)32% (12/38)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
70% (56/80)68% (54/79)
Return Points Won
32% (25/79)30% (24/80)
Total Points Won
51% (81/159)49% (78/159)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Andre Ilagan
64.9%
Sebastian Dominko
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andre Ilagan's form might have worsened.
  • Sebastian Dominko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Dominko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Dominko than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Andre Ilagan - Sebastian Dominko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.33)

    2.78
    (3.25)
    6.4%
    (6%)
    What is the prediction for Andre Ilagan - Sebastian Dominko?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ilagan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dominko (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: Sebastian Dominko will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ilagan is ranked ATP: 422. Dominko is ranked ATP: 1040.
    • Ilagan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dominko's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ilagan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ilagan is a strong favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Andre Ilagan
    Latest results of Sebastian Dominko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (RET.) (1)Perez A.0 : 0
    2Papamalamis T. (JR)Boulais J. (Q)0 : 2
    3Ilagan A.Dominko S. (Q)2 : 1
    4Zheng M.Johns G. (8)2 : 0
    5Mejia N. (4)Jodar R.0 : 2
    6Rybakov A.Bouzige M.2 : 0
    7Stearns P. (Q)Masur D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Bondioli F.Martin A. (6)0 : 2
    9Damm M. (7)Kim A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Anthrop J. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Brunclik P. (Alt)Maloney P.0 : 2
    12Sekulic P. (PR)Trotter J. K. (3)0 : 2
    13Monday J. (5)Blanch Dar.1 : 2
    14Langmo C.Banerjee S. (Q)0 : 2
    15Zink T.Bernard A. (WC)2 : 0
    16Shelbayh A.Cassone M. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Perez A.Boulais J.2 : 0
    2Ilagan A.Zheng M.0 : 2
    3Jodar R.Rybakov A.2 : 0
    4Masur D.Martin A. (6)2 : 1
    5Damm M. (7)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    6Maloney P.Trotter J. K. (3)0 : 2
    7Blanch Dar.Banerjee S.1 : 2
    8Zink T.Shelbayh A.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Perez A.Zheng M.1 : 2
    2Jodar R.Masur D.0 : 2
    3Damm M. (7)Trotter J. K. (3)2 : 1
    4Banerjee S.Zink T.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Zheng M.Masur D.2 : 0
    2Damm M. (7)Banerjee S.2 : 0

    Final
    1Zheng M.Damm M. (7)2 : 1