Yuta Shimizu vs Andre Ilagan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
30/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
62%61%
1st serve points won
76% (29/38)76% (32/42)
2nd serve points won
48% (11/23)59% (16/27)
Break Points Saved
9/113/3
1st return points won
24% (10/42)24% (9/38)
2nd return points won
41% (11/27)52% (12/23)
Break Points Converted
0/32/11
Winners
1518
Unforced errors
3536
Net points won
56% (5/9)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
66% (40/61)70% (49/70)
Return Points Won
30% (21/70)34% (21/61)
Total Points Won
47% (61/131)53% (70/131)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)100% (11/11)
Return games won
0% (0/11)20% (2/10)
Total games won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Yuta Shimizu
51.1%
Andre Ilagan
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Yuta Shimizu aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Andre Ilagan aligns with the current prediction.
  • Yuta Shimizu - Andre Ilagan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (2)

    1.9
    (1.73)
    8.6%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Shimizu is ranked ATP: 387. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 354.
    • Shimizu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ilagan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Yuta Shimizu
    24.03.2026 Yuta Shimizu - Jie Cui 2:1
    04.03.2026 Yuta Shimizu - Max Basing Canceled
    02.03.2026 Yuta Shimizu - Ronit Karki Canceled
    Latest results of Andre Ilagan
    18.03.2026 Rigele Te - Andre Ilagan 2:1
    17.03.2026 Weiwen Pan - Andre Ilagan 0:2
    14.03.2026 Jie Cui - Andre Ilagan 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holmgren A. (1)Oki Y. (WC)1 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Ilagan A.0 : 2
    3Matsuoka H.Samrej K.2 : 0
    4Broady L.Uchida K. (5)2 : 0
    5Zhou Y. (4)Takahashi Y. (LL)2 : 0
    6Overbeck C. E. (Q)Milic O. (NG)0 : 2
    7Ellis B. (PR)Honda N. (WC)2 : 1
    8Jones M.Sun F. (8)2 : 0
    9Wendelken H. (7)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    10Nam Ji S. (Q)Shick B.0 : 2
    11Jasika O.Tu L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tokuda R.Hsu Y. H. (3)0 : 2
    13Noguchi R. (6)Wu Tung-Lin0 : 2
    14Taguchi R. (WC)Jubb P.1 : 2
    15Moriya H. (Q)Matsuda K. (Q)2 : 1
    16Trotter J. K.Added D. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Oki Y. (RET.)Ilagan A.0 : 1
    2Matsuoka H.Broady L.1 : 2
    3Zhou Y. (4)Milic O.0 : 2
    4Ellis B.Jones M.2 : 1
    5Wendelken H. (7)Shick B.2 : 0
    6Jasika O.Hsu Y. H. (3)1 : 2
    7Wu Tung-LinJubb P.2 : 1
    8Moriya H.Trotter J. K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilagan A.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Milic O. (RET.)Ellis B.1 : 0
    3Wendelken H. (7)Hsu Y. H. (3)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinMoriya H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Broady L.Ellis B.2 : 0
    2Wendelken H. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1

    Final
    1Broady L.Wendelken H. (7)