Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Bondioli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
23/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
53
1st serve percentage
65%70%
1st serve points won
65% (31/48)68% (44/65)
2nd serve points won
42% (11/26)54% (15/28)
Break Points Saved
9/128/9
1st return points won
37% (24/65)35% (17/48)
2nd return points won
46% (13/28)58% (15/26)
Break Points Converted
1/93/12
Winners
2832
Unforced errors
3529
Net points won
69% (9/13)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
58% (42/73)63% (59/93)
Return Points Won
37% (34/93)42% (31/73)
Total Points Won
46% (76/166)54% (90/166)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
20
Service games won
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)30% (3/10)
Total games won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Andrea Guerrieri
53.3%
Federico Bondioli
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Guerrieri's form might have worsened.
  • Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Bondioli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Guerrieri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Bondioli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Andrea Guerrieri - Federico Bondioli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.53)

    1.99
    (2.36)
    7.3%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Andrea Guerrieri - Federico Bondioli?
  • Users Predictions: Federico Bondioli will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 409. Bondioli is ranked ATP: 437.
    • Guerrieri is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bondioli is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Bondioli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guerrieri might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Andrea Guerrieri
    Latest results of Federico Bondioli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (LL)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    3Kukushkin M.Dalla Valle E. (Q)1 : 2
    4Giustino L.Jacquet K. (7)2 : 1
    5Wawrinka S. (4)Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Purtseladze S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Nagal S.Squire H.2 : 1
    8Bondioli F. (Q)Blanchet U. (8)2 : 0
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Barton H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Sakellaridis S.Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)2 : 1
    11Caniato C. A. (WC)Vasami J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paul J. (Q)Muller A. (3)0 : 2
    13Pellegrino A. (6)Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    14Blancaneaux G.Sachko V.0 : 2
    15Cina F.Piraino G. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Forti F. (Q)Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Guerrieri A.2 : 1
    2Dalla Valle E.Giustino L.2 : 1
    3Martineau M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    4Nagal S.Bondioli F.1 : 2
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    6Caniato C. A.Muller A. (3)1 : 2
    7Pellegrino A. (6)Sachko V.1 : 2
    8Cina F.Forti F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Dalla Valle E.2 : 0
    2Ribecai M.Bondioli F.0 : 2
    3Medjedovic H. (5)Muller A. (3)2 : 0
    4Sachko V.Cina F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Medjedovic H. (5)Sachko V.2 : 0

    Final
    1Altmaier D. (1)Medjedovic H. (5)0 : 2