Result
2:1
24/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 56% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 57% (57/100) | 66% (46/70) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 46% (26/56) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 13/20 | 6/11 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 36% (25/70) | 43% (43/100) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 56% (25/45) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/11 | 7/20 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 63 | 49 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 61% (11/18) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (77/145) | 57% (71/124) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (53/124) | 47% (68/145) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (130/269) | 52% (139/269) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 44% (7/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 56% (18/32) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Guerrieri
24.2% | Stefano Travaglia
75.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Guerrieri's form might have worsened.Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Travaglia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Guerrieri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Andrea Guerrieri - Stefano Travaglia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↑
(3.07) |
|
1.25 ↓
(1.32) |
6.4%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Andrea Guerrieri - Stefano Travaglia?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guerrieri will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Travaglia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 409. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 161.
- Guerrieri has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Travaglia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Travaglia is the team to beat.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Guerrieri won against Stefano Travaglia?
Andrea Guerrieri has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefano Travaglia won against Andrea Guerrieri?
Stefano Travaglia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Guerrieri - Stefano Travaglia were as follows:
Latest results of Andrea Guerrieri
Latest results of Stefano Travaglia
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Damas M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Guerrieri A. (LL) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kukushkin M. | Dalla Valle E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Giustino L. | Jacquet K. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Wawrinka S. (4) | Martineau M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Purtseladze S. | Ribecai M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nagal S. | Squire H. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bondioli F. (Q) | Blanchet U. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Barton H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Sakellaridis S. | Jorda Sanchis D. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Caniato C. A. (WC) | Vasami J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Paul J. (Q) | Muller A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Pellegrino A. (6) | Jianu F. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Blancaneaux G. | Sachko V. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cina F. | Piraino G. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Forti F. (Q) | Kopriva V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Guerrieri A. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Dalla Valle E. | Giustino L. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Martineau M. | Ribecai M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Nagal S. | Bondioli F. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Sakellaridis S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Caniato C. A. | Muller A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Pellegrino A. (6) | Sachko V. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Cina F. | Forti F. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Dalla Valle E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ribecai M. | Bondioli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Muller A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sachko V. | Cina F. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Bondioli F. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Sachko V. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Medjedovic H. (5) | 0 : 2 |
