Result
0:2
04/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 2 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 75% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (20/35) | 74% (28/38) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 54% (7/13) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (10/38) | 43% (15/35) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 52% (11/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 80% (4/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 350% (7/2) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 69% (35/51) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (16/51) | 46% (26/56) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (46/107) | 57% (61/107) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 40% (4/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Pellegrino
35.8% | Alex Michelsen
64.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Michelsen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(3) |
|
1.47 ↑
(1.35) |
6.3%
(7.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Michelsen?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Michelsen will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 237. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 38.
- Pellegrino has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Michelsen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Alex Michelsen?
Andrea Pellegrino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Michelsen won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Alex Michelsen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Michelsen were as follows:
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Latest results of Alex Michelsen
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lajovic D. (Alt) | Pellegrino A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tien L. | Elias G. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Rocha H. (WC) | Jarry N. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Giron M. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Moreno De Alboran N. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Faria J. | Zapata Miralles B. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | De Jong J. | Fonseca J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Struff J-L. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Coppejans K. (Alt) | Yevseyev D. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zeppieri G. (Q) | Fucsovics M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Borges N. (3) | |
| 13 | Martinez P. (6) | Vatutin A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Nardi L. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Hanfmann Y. (Alt) | Fonio G. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Michelsen A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Pellegrino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Elias G. | Jarry N. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Giron M. (4) | Vukic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zapata Miralles B. | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Yevseyev D. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Borges N. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Vatutin A. | Nardi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Fonio G. | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. | Jarry N. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Vukic A. | Zapata Miralles B. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Borges N. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Nardi L. | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Pellegrino A. | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
