Andrea Pellegrino vs Bernabe Zapata Miralles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Estoril Challenger Men Andrea Pellegrino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles
Result
2:0
29/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
71%70%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (22/34)48% (21/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (7/14)32% (6/19)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)46% (6/13)
1st Return Points Won
52% (23/44)35% (12/34)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (13/19)50% (7/14)
Break Points Converted
54% (7/13)60% (3/5)
Winners
207
Unforced Errors
2637
Net Points Won
83% (5/6)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
61% (30/49)43% (27/63)
Return Points Won
57% (36/63)39% (19/49)
Total Points Won
59% (66/112)41% (46/112)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)22% (2/9)
Return Games Won
78% (7/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
72% (13/18)28% (5/18)

Chances of winning


Andrea Pellegrino
55.9%
Bernabe Zapata Miralles
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Andrea Pellegrino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.7)

    2.11
    (2.05)
    7.5%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 237. Zapata Miralles is ranked ATP: 380.
    • Pellegrino is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Zapata Miralles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Pellegrino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Pellegrino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Bye
    2Lajovic D. (Alt)Pellegrino A. (Q)1 : 2
    3Tien L.Elias G. (WC)1 : 2
    4Rocha H. (WC)Jarry N. (7)1 : 2
    5Giron M. (4)Bye
    6Vukic A.Moreno De Alboran N. (Alt)2 : 1
    7Faria J.Zapata Miralles B. (LL)0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Fonseca J. (8)2 : 0
    9Kecmanovic M. (5)Struff J-L.2 : 0
    10Coppejans K. (Alt)Yevseyev D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Zeppieri G. (Q)Fucsovics M.1 : 2
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Martinez P. (6)Vatutin A. (Q)0 : 2
    14Nardi L.Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    15Hanfmann Y. (Alt)Fonio G. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeMichelsen A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    2Elias G.Jarry N. (7)1 : 2
    3Giron M. (4)Vukic A.0 : 2
    4Zapata Miralles B.De Jong J.2 : 0
    5Kecmanovic M. (5)Yevseyev D.2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Borges N. (3)1 : 2
    7Vatutin A.Nardi L.0 : 2
    8Fonio G.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pellegrino A.Jarry N. (7)2 : 1
    2Vukic A.Zapata Miralles B.2 : 0
    3Kecmanovic M. (5)Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    4Nardi L.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pellegrino A.Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Kecmanovic M. (5)Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Pellegrino A.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2