Andrea Pellegrino vs Daniel Evans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Naples Challenger Men Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Evans
Result
2:1
25/03/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
56
1st Serve Percentage
63%61%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (30/50)60% (36/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (14/29)41% (16/39)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)55% (6/11)
1st Return Points Won
40% (24/60)40% (20/50)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (23/39)52% (15/29)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
56% (44/79)53% (52/99)
Return Points Won
47% (47/99)44% (35/79)
Total Points Won
51% (91/178)49% (87/178)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)62% (8/13)
Return Games Won
38% (5/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
50% (13/26)50% (13/26)

Chances of winning


Andrea Pellegrino
63%
Daniel Evans
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.
  • Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Evans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Evans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Evans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.76)

    2.49
    (1.95)
    7.8%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Evans?
  • Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 263. Evans is ranked ATP: 183.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Pellegrino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
    Latest results of Daniel Evans
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Agamenone F. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ajdukovic D.Nagal S.0 : 2
    3Wawrinka S.Gojo B. (Q)2 : 0
    4Mayot H.Coric B. (7)0 : 2
    5Passaro F. (3)Ymer E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Maestrelli F. (WC)Dellien Velasco M. A.0 : 2
    7Fonio G. (Q)Svrcina D.1 : 2
    8Barrere G.Tseng C. H. (8)0 : 2
    9Fognini F. (5)Onclin G.1 : 2
    10Pellegrino A. (Q)Evans D.2 : 1
    11Barton H. (Q)Herbert P.0 : 2
    12Rehberg M. H. (Alt)Seyboth Wild T. (4)2 : 1
    13Boyer T. (6)Arnaboldi F.1 : 2
    14Zeppieri G. (WC)Jianu F. C. (Alt)1 : 2
    15Kovalik J.Hemery C.0 : 2
    16Kopriva V.Collignon R. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Nagal S.2 : 0
    2Wawrinka S.Coric B. (7)2 : 0
    3Ymer E.Dellien Velasco M. A.1 : 2
    4Svrcina D.Tseng C. H. (8)2 : 0
    5Onclin G.Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    6Herbert P.Rehberg M. H.2 : 0
    7Arnaboldi F.Jianu F. C.2 : 1
    8Hemery C.Kopriva V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    2Dellien Velasco M. A.Svrcina D.0 : 2
    3Pellegrino A.Herbert P.2 : 1
    4Arnaboldi F.Kopriva V.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Svrcina D.2 : 1
    2Pellegrino A.Kopriva V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (1)Kopriva V.1 : 2