Result
2:0
12/06/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 70% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (27/42) | 50% (19/38) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 31% (5/16) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 50% (5/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (19/38) | 36% (15/42) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 39% (7/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 25% (2/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (38/60) | 44% (24/54) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 37% (22/60) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (68/114) | 40% (46/114) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 38% (3/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Pellegrino
54.2% | Federico Bondioli
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Pellegrino's form might have worsened.Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Bondioli's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+20.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (-20.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Bondioli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Bondioli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.31) |
|
2.02 ↓
(3.2) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Bondioli?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Bondioli will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bondioli: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 50%). Bondioli (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 173. Bondioli is ranked ATP: 453.
- Pellegrino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bondioli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Bondioli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pellegrino could have a small edge in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Federico Bondioli?
Andrea Pellegrino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Federico Bondioli won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Federico Bondioli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Bondioli were as follows:
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Latest results of Federico Bondioli
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Sachko V. | Bondioli F. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Durasovic V. | Campana Lee G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Maestrelli F. | Passaro F. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Nardi L. (3) | Purtseladze S. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ymer E. | Zeppieri G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carboni L. (WC) | Pavlovic L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Marti Pujolras A. (LL) | Daniel T. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Svrcina D. (5) | Rincon D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Tomic B. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | Fatic N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Sakamoto R. | Lajovic D. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Wawrinka S. (6) | Albot R. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Basile P. (Q) | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Cecchinato M. (LL) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arnaboldi F. | Picchione A. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Bondioli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Durasovic V. | Passaro F. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Nardi L. (3) | Ymer E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pavlovic L. | Daniel T. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. (5) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Fatic N. | Lajovic D. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Albot R. | Basile P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Arnaboldi F. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Passaro F. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nardi L. (3) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Svrcina D. (5) | Fatic N. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Basile P. | Arnaboldi F. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Nardi L. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Fatic N. | Basile P. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Fatic N. | 2 : 0 |
