Andrea Pellegrino vs Federico Bondioli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Perugia Challenger Men Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Bondioli
Result
2:0
12/06/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
70%70%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (27/42)50% (19/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (11/18)31% (5/16)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
50% (19/38)36% (15/42)
2nd Return Points Won
69% (11/16)39% (7/18)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)25% (2/8)
Service Points Won
63% (38/60)44% (24/54)
Return Points Won
56% (30/54)37% (22/60)
Total Points Won
60% (68/114)40% (46/114)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)38% (3/8)
Return Games Won
63% (5/8)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Andrea Pellegrino
54.2%
Federico Bondioli
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Pellegrino's form might have worsened.
  • Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Bondioli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+20.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (-20.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Bondioli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Bondioli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.31)

    2.02
    (3.2)
    8.2%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Bondioli?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Bondioli will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bondioli: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 50%). Bondioli (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 173. Bondioli is ranked ATP: 453.
    • Pellegrino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bondioli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Bondioli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Pellegrino could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    2Sachko V.Bondioli F. (Q)1 : 2
    3Durasovic V.Campana Lee G. (Q)2 : 1
    4Maestrelli F.Passaro F. (7)0 : 2
    5Nardi L. (3)Purtseladze S. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Ymer E.Zeppieri G. (WC)2 : 0
    7Carboni L. (WC)Pavlovic L.0 : 2
    8Marti Pujolras A. (LL)Daniel T. (8)1 : 2
    9Svrcina D. (5)Rincon D. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Travaglia S. (Alt)Tomic B.2 : 0
    11Roca Batalla O. (Q)Fatic N. (Q)1 : 2
    12Sakamoto R.Lajovic D. (4)0 : 2
    13Wawrinka S. (6)Albot R.0 : 2
    14Basile P. (Q)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    15Cecchinato M. (LL)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 2
    16Arnaboldi F.Picchione A. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Bondioli F.2 : 0
    2Durasovic V.Passaro F. (7)0 : 2
    3Nardi L. (3)Ymer E.2 : 0
    4Pavlovic L.Daniel T. (8)2 : 1
    5Svrcina D. (5)Travaglia S.2 : 0
    6Fatic N.Lajovic D. (4)2 : 0
    7Albot R.Basile P.0 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R.Arnaboldi F.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Passaro F. (7)2 : 0
    2Nardi L. (3)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    3Svrcina D. (5)Fatic N.0 : 2
    4Basile P.Arnaboldi F.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Nardi L. (3)2 : 0
    2Fatic N.Basile P.2 : 0

    Final
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Fatic N.2 : 0