Result
2:1
15/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (39/59) | 63% (29/46) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 51% (18/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 34% (20/59) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (17/35) | 46% (13/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 27% (3/11) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 28 | 43 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 50% (4/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (54/86) | 58% (47/81) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (34/81) | 37% (32/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (88/167) | 47% (79/167) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 46% (12/26) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Pellegrino
53.5% | Jaime Faria
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaime Faria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaime Faria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Andrea Pellegrino - Jaime Faria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.94) |
|
2.03 ↑
(1.79) |
5.3%
(7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Jaime Faria?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Faria will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pellegrino: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Faria (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 139. Faria is ranked ATP: 115.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Jaime Faria?
Andrea Pellegrino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaime Faria won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Jaime Faria has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Jaime Faria were as follows:
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Latest results of Jaime Faria
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Barrios Vera T. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gaston H. | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Dzumhur D. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Baez S. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Monteiro T. (Q) | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ymer E. (WC) | Boyer T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Collignon R. | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Garin C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ymer M. (WC) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Misolic F. (Q) | Moller E. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Borges N. (3) | |
| 13 | Kopriva V. (8) | Dellien H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Faria J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaston H. | Dzumhur D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Baez S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Ymer E. | Darderi L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Misolic F. | Borges N. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kopriva V. (8) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pellegrino A. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Dzumhur D. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Baez S. (4) | Darderi L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Misolic F. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Darderi L. (6) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
