Result
2:1
23/09/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 53% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (39/50) | 69% (27/39) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 41% (14/34) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 22% (11/50) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (20/34) | 52% (14/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 25% (1/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (52/77) | 56% (41/73) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (32/73) | 32% (25/77) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (84/150) | 44% (66/150) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 8% (1/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 38% (9/24) |
Chances of winning
Jan Choinski
45.4% | Andrea Pellegrino
54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Jan Choinski - Andrea Pellegrino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2) |
|
1.72 ↓
(1.74) |
7%
(7.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Choinski is ranked ATP: 227. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 135.
- Choinski is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Pellegrino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Choinski won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Jan Choinski has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Jan Choinski?
Andrea Pellegrino has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Andrea Pellegrino were as follows:
16.10.2023
Andrea Pellegrino
-
Jan Choinski
Pellegrino A. retired
04.10.2023
Andrea Pellegrino
-
Jan Choinski
2:1
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ritschard A. (Q) | Schwaerzler J. J. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Dodig M. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Negritu Ch. (Q) | Faria J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | Moro Canas A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Araujo P. (WC) | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Choinski J. | Pellegrino A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Galan D. E. (7) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Den Ouden G. | Ymer E. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cecchinato M. (Q) | Monteiro T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Rocha F. (Q) | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Pereira T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Merida Aguilar D. | Kym J. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Ferreira Silva F. (WC) | Clarke J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Gaubas V. | Taberner C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Ritschard A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. | Faria J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Rocha H. | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Monteiro T. | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pereira T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ferreira Silva F. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ritschard A. | Travaglia S. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. | Buse I. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Merida Aguilar D. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Travaglia S. | Rocha H. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. (4) | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Final
