Result
2:1
19/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 71% (32/45) | 65% (53/82) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 65% (20/31) | 43% (20/47) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/4 | 19/23 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 35% (29/82) | 29% (13/45) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 35% (11/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/23 | 2/4 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 33 | 29 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (4/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (52/76) | 57% (73/129) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (56/129) | 32% (24/76) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (108/205) | 47% (97/205) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 14% (2/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 45% (13/29) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Pellegrino
63.5% | Justin Engel
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Justin Engel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Engel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Andrea Pellegrino - Justin Engel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.5) |
|
2.55 ↑
(2.38) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Justin Engel?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Andrea Pellegrino will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 128. Engel is ranked ATP: 190.
- Pellegrino is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Engel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pellegrino could have a small edge in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Justin Engel?
Andrea Pellegrino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Justin Engel won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Justin Engel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Justin Engel were as follows:
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Latest results of Justin Engel
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
