Andrea Pellegrino vs Martin Damm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/04/2026 at 04:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
512
Double Faults
15
1st serve percentage
63%58%
1st serve points won
68% (27/40)91% (30/33)
2nd serve points won
43% (10/23)54% (13/24)
Break Points Saved
2/54/4
1st return points won
9% (3/33)33% (13/40)
2nd return points won
46% (11/24)57% (13/23)
Break Points Converted
0/43/5
Winners
1641
Unforced errors
1528
Net points won
100% (6/6)85% (11/13)
Service Points Won
59% (37/63)75% (43/57)
Return Points Won
25% (14/57)41% (26/63)
Total Points Won
43% (51/120)57% (69/120)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Andrea Pellegrino
49.9%
Martin Damm
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Pellegrino's form might have worsened.
  • Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martin Damm's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Damm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Andrea Pellegrino - Martin Damm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.58)

    1.88
    (2.29)
    6.3%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Martin Damm?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Damm will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 131. Damm is ranked ATP: 124.
    • Recent performances by Pellegrino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Damm is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pellegrino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
    Latest results of Martin Damm
    06.04.2026 Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm 2:1
    19.03.2026 Martin Damm - Jacob Fearnley Fearnley J. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Gojo B.
    2Harris B.Merida Aguilar D. (13)
    3Garin C. (2)Blanchet U. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A.Damm M. (24)0 : 2
    5Svajda Z. (3)Sakamoto R. (WC)0 : 2
    6Gea A.Gaubas V. (22)0 : 2
    7Prizmic D. (4)O'Connell C.
    8Piros Z.Barrios Vera T. (21)
    9Vukic A. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    10Moller E.Gaston H. (18)2 : 0
    11Halys Q. (6)Faria J.
    12Harris L.McDonald M. (23)
    13Kypson P. (7)Kouame M. (WC)
    14Travaglia S.Basilashvili N. (20)
    15Vallejo D. (8)Martinez P.
    16Rocha H.Choinski J. (19)
    17Kovacevic A. (9)Echargui M.
    18Budkov Kjaer N.Maestrelli F. (16)
    19van Assche L. (10)Dedura D. (WC)
    20Blanch Dar. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)
    21Wu Y. (11)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    22Virtanen O.Droguet T. (17)1 : 2
    23Hijikata R. (12)Rodesch C.
    24Lajovic D.Arnaldi M. (14)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Garin C. (2)Damm M. (24)
    3Sakamoto R.Gaubas V. (22)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Moller E.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Wu Y. (11)Droguet T. (17)
    12TBD #23TBD #24