Result
2:0
15/06/2025 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 74% | 81% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (32/42) | 59% (30/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 33% (4/12) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 63% (5/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 24% (10/42) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 40% (6/15) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 0% (0/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (41/57) | 54% (34/63) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 28% (16/57) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (70/120) | 42% (50/120) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 0% (0/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Pellegrino
59.1% | Nerman Fatic
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nerman Fatic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.65) |
|
2.27 ↑
(2.23) |
6.7%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Fatic will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pellegrino: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 173. Fatic is ranked ATP: 305.
- Pellegrino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fatic is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Fatic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pellegrino might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pellegrino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Nerman Fatic?
Andrea Pellegrino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nerman Fatic won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Nerman Fatic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic were as follows:
05.08.2023
Andrea Pellegrino
-
Nerman Fatic
Fatic N. retired
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Latest results of Nerman Fatic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Sachko V. | Bondioli F. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Durasovic V. | Campana Lee G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Maestrelli F. | Passaro F. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Nardi L. (3) | Purtseladze S. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ymer E. | Zeppieri G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carboni L. (WC) | Pavlovic L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Marti Pujolras A. (LL) | Daniel T. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Svrcina D. (5) | Rincon D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Tomic B. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | Fatic N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Sakamoto R. | Lajovic D. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Wawrinka S. (6) | Albot R. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Basile P. (Q) | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Cecchinato M. (LL) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arnaboldi F. | Picchione A. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Bondioli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Durasovic V. | Passaro F. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Nardi L. (3) | Ymer E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pavlovic L. | Daniel T. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. (5) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Fatic N. | Lajovic D. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Albot R. | Basile P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Arnaboldi F. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Passaro F. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nardi L. (3) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Svrcina D. (5) | Fatic N. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Basile P. | Arnaboldi F. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Nardi L. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Fatic N. | Basile P. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Fatic N. | 2 : 0 |
