Result
0:2
20/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (27/41) | 76% (26/34) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 68% (13/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/8 | 3/4 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 34% (14/41) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 58% (11/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/4 | 3/8 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 90% (9/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 74% (39/53) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (14/53) | 42% (25/60) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (49/113) | 57% (64/113) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Pellegrino
39.2% | Pablo Carreno-Busta
60.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Carreno-Busta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.7) |
|
1.54 ↑
(1.4) |
6.9%
(8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 128. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 117.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Carreno Busta might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Carreno Busta will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Andrea Pellegrino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
