Result
2:1
24/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 75% | 67% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (53/76) | 60% (36/60) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 59% (17/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 40% (2/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 30% (23/76) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 46% (12/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 15% (2/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (66/100) | 62% (53/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (33/86) | 34% (34/100) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (99/186) | 47% (87/186) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 13% (2/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 45% (13/29) |
Chances of winning
Vilius Gaubas
60.2% | Andrea Pellegrino
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilius Gaubas's performance.Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Pellegrino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Pellegrino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.78) |
|
2.35 ↑
(1.95) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 237.
- Gaubas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Pellegrino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Gaubas will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Gaubas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vilius Gaubas won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Vilius Gaubas has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Vilius Gaubas?
Andrea Pellegrino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino were as follows:
03.10.2024
Andrea Pellegrino
-
Vilius Gaubas
2:0
23.04.2024
Andrea Pellegrino
-
Vilius Gaubas
0:2
Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gaubas V. (1) | Sultanov K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Roca Batalla O. | Prihodko O. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. | Vasami J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Bouquier A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Skatov T. (4) | Cornut-Chauvinc A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Jubb P. | Travaglia S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Hardt N. | Pokorny L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Poljicak M. (Alt) | Neumayer L. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Arnaboldi F. (8) | Pennaforti G. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Shelbayh A. | Kuzmanov D. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Kopp S. (Q) | Yevseyev D. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Brunold M. (Q) | Habib H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Gigante M. (7) | Giustino L. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Coppejans K. (Q) | Stricker D. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Maestrelli F. (Alt) | Squire H. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Carboni L. (WC) | Ajdukovic D. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gaubas V. (1) | Prihodko O. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pellegrino A. | Bertola R. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Skatov T. (WO.) (4) | Travaglia S. | |
| 4 | Pokorny L. | Neumayer L. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Arnaboldi F. (8) | Kuzmanov D. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Kopp S. | Habib H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Gigante M. (7) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Maestrelli F. | Carboni L. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gaubas V. (1) | Pellegrino A. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Skatov T. (4) | Neumayer L. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Arnaboldi F. (8) | Kopp S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Gigante M. (7) | Maestrelli F. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gaubas V. (1) | Neumayer L. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kopp S. | Gigante M. (WO.) (7) | |
Final| 1 | Gaubas V. (1) | Gigante M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
