Andrea Pellegrino vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
14/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
513
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
50%63%
1st serve points won
77% (27/35)75% (42/56)
2nd serve points won
46% (16/35)42% (14/33)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)90% (9/10)
1st return points won
25% (14/56)23% (8/35)
2nd return points won
58% (19/33)54% (19/35)
Break Points Converted
10% (1/10)38% (3/8)
Winners
2135
Unforced errors
2831
Net points won
60% (3/5)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
61% (43/70)63% (56/89)
Return Points Won
37% (33/89)39% (27/70)
Total Points Won
48% (76/159)52% (83/159)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
30
Service games won
73% (8/11)91% (10/11)
Return games won
9% (1/11)27% (3/11)
Total games won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Andrea Pellegrino
51.3%
Vilius Gaubas
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.
  • Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilius Gaubas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.37)

    1.93
    (1.54)
    6.2%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 145. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 127.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gaubas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pellegrino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino 2:1
    03.10.2024 Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas 2:0
    23.04.2024 Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas 0:2
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2