Result
2:1
19/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Umag - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 71% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (46/68) | 65% (37/57) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (14/34) | 48% (11/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (20/57) | 34% (23/68) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 59% (20/34) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 33% (4/12) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 44 | 37 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 50% (3/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (60/102) | 62% (48/77) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (29/77) | 41% (42/102) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (89/179) | 50% (90/179) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 50% (14/28) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Pellegrino
68.6% | Vitaliy Sachko
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.Vitaliy Sachko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitaliy Sachko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitaliy Sachko than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitaliy Sachko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.84) |
|
3.04 ↑
(1.85) |
4.9%
(8.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Andrea Pellegrino will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 139. Sachko is ranked ATP: 213.
- In recent matches, Pellegrino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sachko has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sachko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pellegrino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Vitaliy Sachko?
Andrea Pellegrino has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitaliy Sachko won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Vitaliy Sachko has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko were as follows:
03.04.2025
Vitaliy Sachko
-
Andrea Pellegrino
Sachko V. walkover
23.02.2025
Andrea Pellegrino
-
Vitaliy Sachko
0:2
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Latest results of Vitaliy Sachko
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Taberner C. | Herbert P. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Jong J. | Poljicak M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Barrios Vera T. | Navone M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Dzumhur D. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Guillen Meza A. (Q) | Wawrinka S. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Droguet T. (Q) | Garin C. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Collignon R. | Kopriva V. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Majchrzak K. (7) | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Lajovic D. | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Dodig M. (WC) | Passaro F. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | |
| 13 | Carballes Baena R. (6) | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Prizmic D. (WC) | Moller E. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Tseng C. H. | Zeppieri G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Taberner C. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | De Jong J. | Navone M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Dzumhur D. (4) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Droguet T. | Kopriva V. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Passaro F. | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Basilashvili N. | Prizmic D. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Tseng C. H. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Taberner C. | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dzumhur D. (4) | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.) | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Taberner C. | Dzumhur D. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ugo Carabelli C. (3) | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Taberner C. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
