Andrea Pellegrino vs Vitaliy Sachko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/03/2026 at 08:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
58%70%
1st serve points won
69% (34/49)81% (46/57)
2nd serve points won
61% (22/36)64% (16/25)
Break Points Saved
4/65/6
1st return points won
19% (11/57)31% (15/49)
2nd return points won
36% (9/25)39% (14/36)
Break Points Converted
1/62/6
Service Points Won
65% (55/84)76% (61/80)
Return Points Won
24% (19/80)35% (29/84)
Total Points Won
45% (74/164)55% (90/164)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
86% (12/14)93% (14/15)
Return games won
7% (1/15)14% (2/14)
Total games won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Andrea Pellegrino
67.1%
Vitaliy Sachko
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.
  • Vitaliy Sachko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitaliy Sachko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitaliy Sachko than the current prediction. (+16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitaliy Sachko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.73)

    2.86
    (1.99)
    6.8%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 128. Sachko is ranked ATP: 186.
    • In recent matches, Pellegrino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sachko has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Pellegrino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pellegrino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko 2:1
    03.04.2025 Vitaliy Sachko - Andrea Pellegrino Sachko V. walkover
    23.02.2025 Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko 0:2
    Latest results of Vitaliy Sachko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (LL)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    3Kukushkin M.Dalla Valle E. (Q)1 : 2
    4Giustino L.Jacquet K. (7)2 : 1
    5Wawrinka S. (4)Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Purtseladze S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Nagal S.Squire H.2 : 1
    8Bondioli F. (Q)Blanchet U. (8)2 : 0
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Barton H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Sakellaridis S.Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)2 : 1
    11Caniato C. A. (WC)Vasami J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paul J. (Q)Muller A. (3)0 : 2
    13Pellegrino A. (6)Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    14Blancaneaux G.Sachko V.0 : 2
    15Cina F.Piraino G. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Forti F. (Q)Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Guerrieri A.2 : 1
    2Dalla Valle E.Giustino L.2 : 1
    3Martineau M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    4Nagal S.Bondioli F.1 : 2
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    6Caniato C. A.Muller A. (3)1 : 2
    7Pellegrino A. (6)Sachko V.1 : 2
    8Cina F.Forti F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Dalla Valle E.2 : 0
    2Ribecai M.Bondioli F.0 : 2
    3Medjedovic H. (5)Muller A. (3)2 : 0
    4Sachko V.Cina F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Medjedovic H. (5)Sachko V.2 : 0

    Final
    1Altmaier D. (1)Medjedovic H. (5)0 : 2