Andrea Picchione vs Alafia Ayeni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/11/2024 at 00:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
74%73%
1st Serve Points Won
54% (30/56)71% (41/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (11/20)43% (9/21)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
22% (13/58)46% (26/56)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (12/21)45% (9/20)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)33% (4/12)
Service Points Won
54% (41/76)64% (43/67)
Return Points Won
36% (24/67)46% (35/76)
Total Points Won
45% (65/143)55% (78/143)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (7/11)75% (9/12)
Return Games Won
25% (3/12)36% (4/11)
Total Games Won
43% (10/23)57% (13/23)

Chances of winning


Andrea Picchione
51.6%
Alafia Ayeni
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrea Picchione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Picchione's form might have worsened.
  • Alafia Ayeni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alafia Ayeni's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Picchione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alafia Ayeni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Andrea Picchione - Alafia Ayeni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.62)

    1.93
    (2.19)
    7.3%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Picchione is ranked ATP: 335. Ayeni is ranked ATP: 474.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Ayeni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Picchione will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Andrea Picchione
    Latest results of Alafia Ayeni
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Isomura K. (WC)2 : 1
    2Bouzige M. (RET.)Tokuda R.0 : 0
    3Sekulic P.Chung H.2 : 0
    4Takahashi Y.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (3)Barton H.2 : 1
    6Huesler M.Katayama S. (WC)2 : 0
    7Basing M. (Q)Matsuda R. (Q)2 : 1
    8Kusuhara Y. (WC)Ferreira Silva F. (8)1 : 2
    9Kuzmanov D. (6)Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    10Matsuda K. (Q)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    11Shin S.Nakagawa S. (Q)1 : 2
    12Kumasaka T. (Q)Peniston R. (4)0 : 2
    13Shimabukuro S. (5)Mochizuki Y. (Q)2 : 0
    14Jones M.Johns G.1 : 2
    15Bigun K. (JR)Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    16Shiraishi H.Grenier H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Tokuda R.2 : 0
    2Sekulic P.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    3Crawford O. (3)Huesler M.2 : 0
    4Basing M.Ferreira Silva F. (8)0 : 2
    5Ajdukovic D.Matsuda K.2 : 1
    6Nakagawa S.Peniston R. (4)1 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S. (5)Johns G.2 : 0
    8Uchiyama Y.Grenier H. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Noguchi R. (7)2 : 1
    2Crawford O. (3)Ferreira Silva F. (8)1 : 2
    3Ajdukovic D.Peniston R. (4)1 : 2
    4Shimabukuro S. (5)Grenier H. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Ferreira Silva F. (8)2 : 0
    2Peniston R. (4)Shimabukuro S. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H. (1)Shimabukuro S. (5)2 : 1