Andrej Martin vs Alexey Vatutin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
100
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
63%49%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (32/37)77% (23/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (11/22)45% (14/31)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)67% (6/9)
1st Return Points Won
30% (9/30)16% (6/37)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (17/31)50% (11/22)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)0% (0/0)
Winners
2616
Unforced Errors
3125
Net Points Won
100% (9/9)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
73% (43/59)61% (37/61)
Return Points Won
39% (24/61)27% (16/59)
Total Points Won
56% (67/120)44% (53/120)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
68% (13/19)32% (6/19)

Chances of winning


Andrej Martin
44%
Alexey Vatutin
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrej Martin's form might have worsened.
  • Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexey Vatutin's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrej Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Andrej Martin - Alexey Vatutin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.64)

    1.71
    (2.11)
    6.9%
    (8.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Martin is ranked ATP: 393. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 413.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Vatutin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Andrej Martin
    Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    2Bondioli F. (NG)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    3Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Rocha F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G. (SE)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    5Moller E. (3)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    6Michalski D.Curras Abasolo T. (Q)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Napolitano S. (PR)2 : 0
    8Pereira T.Lopez Montagud C. (Q)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (7)Cretu C. (LL)2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Martin A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Vatutin A. (LL)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    12Elias G. (WC)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Kolar Z. (8)Damas M.1 : 2
    14Andreev A. (PR)Marmousez L. (Q)1 : 2
    15Sanchez Izquierdo N.Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    16Jianu F. C.Faria J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 1
    2Santamarta Roig A.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    3Moller E. (3)Michalski D.2 : 1
    4Blancaneaux G.Lopez Montagud C.1 : 2
    5Giustino L. (RET.) (7)Martin A.0 : 1
    6Vatutin A.Rocha H. (4)2 : 0
    7Damas M.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Jover C.Jianu F. C.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Moller E. (3)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    3Martin A.Vatutin A.2 : 0
    4Marmousez L.Jianu F. C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    2Martin A.Marmousez L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Moller E. (3)Martin A.2 : 0