Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Martin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
74%62%
1st serve points won
61% (40/66)75% (47/63)
2nd serve points won
61% (14/23)58% (22/38)
Break Points Saved
7/114/4
1st return points won
25% (16/63)39% (26/66)
2nd return points won
42% (16/38)39% (9/23)
Break Points Converted
0/44/11
Winners
1827
Unforced errors
4041
Net points won
60% (3/5)85% (11/13)
Service Points Won
61% (54/89)68% (69/101)
Return Points Won
32% (32/101)39% (35/89)
Total Points Won
45% (86/190)55% (104/190)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
71% (10/14)100% (14/14)
Return games won
0% (0/14)29% (4/14)
Total games won
36% (10/28)64% (18/28)

Chances of winning


Mathys Erhard
56.1%
Andrej Martin
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Mathys Erhard - Andrej Martin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.73)

    2.13
    (2)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Mathys Erhard - Andrej Martin?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Martin will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 Games - Martin (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Martin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Erhard is ranked ATP: 330. Martin is ranked ATP: 453.
    • Erhard is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Martin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erhard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mathys Erhard - Andrej Martin were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Andrej Martin - Mathys Erhard 2:0
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    Latest results of Andrej Martin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    2Forejtek J.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Donski A. (Q)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Houkes M.Pavlovic L. (6)2 : 1
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Vasa E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Nijboer R. (Q)Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    7Coulibaly E.Denolly C.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    9Cecchinato M. (8)Iradukunda G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kopp S.Marrero Curbelo I. (LL)2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Martin A.1 : 2
    12Steiner M. (Q)Clarke J. (4)1 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (7)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    14Bax F.Neuchrist M. (WC)1 : 2
    15Pennaforti G. (Q)Cuenin S.0 : 2
    16Bouchelaghem C. (WC)Gea A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Forejtek J.2 : 1
    2Donski A.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Vasa E.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    5Cecchinato M. (8)Kopp S.2 : 1
    6Martin A.Clarke J. (4)2 : 0
    7Napolitano S.Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    8Cuenin S. (RET.)Gea A. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Houkes M.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (8)Martin A.2 : 0
    4Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Kolar Z. (5)2 : 0
    2Cecchinato M. (8)Gea A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Cecchinato M. (8)2 : 1