Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (36/56) | 69% (51/74) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 43% (19/44) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 69% (9/13) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (25/74) | 36% (20/56) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 57% (25/44) | 47% (22/47) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (61/101) | 59% (70/118) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (48/118) | 40% (40/101) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (109/219) | 50% (110/219) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 76% (13/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 29% (5/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 53% (18/34) |
Chances of winning
Andres Andrade
49.2% | Alexis Galarneau
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andres Andrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andres Andrade's performance.Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexis Galarneau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andres Andrade that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Galarneau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Andres Andrade - Alexis Galarneau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.6) |
|
1.81 ↑
(1.46) |
8.3%
(7.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Andres Andrade - Alexis Galarneau?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Andrade will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Galarneau will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Andrade: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Andrade (votes: 1 - 50%). Galarneau (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Andrade is ranked ATP: 252. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 230.
- In recent matches, Andrade has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Galarneau is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Andrade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- We predict that Galarneau will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Andres Andrade won against Alexis Galarneau?
Andres Andrade has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexis Galarneau won against Andres Andrade?
Alexis Galarneau has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andres Andrade - Alexis Galarneau were as follows:
Latest results of Andres Andrade
Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Ficovich J. P. (1) | Fishback R. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nefve A. (Q) | Sau Franco A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rodrigues N. (Q) | Tobon M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Gomez J. S. | Andrade A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Galarneau A. (4) | Hardt N. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Baadi T. | Kingsley C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Winter E. | Dickerson R. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Aguilar J. C. M. | Martin A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kozlov S. (8) | McCormick T. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bicknell B. | Poling K. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Martin D. (RET.) | Ayeni A. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Dalmasso G. (Q) | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Gojo B. (5) | Mena F. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Jones B. (Q) | De Alba R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Brouwer G. (PR) | Gima S. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC) | Tomic B. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ficovich J. P. (1) | Nefve A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rodrigues N. | Andrade A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Galarneau A. (4) | Kingsley C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Winter E. | Martin A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Kozlov S. (8) | Poling K. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ayeni A. | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Gojo B. (5) | Jones B. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Brouwer G. | Tomic B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ficovich J. P. (1) | Andrade A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Galarneau A. (4) | Winter E. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kozlov S. (8) | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Gojo B. (5) | Tomic B. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Andrade A. (6) | Galarneau A. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | Gojo B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Galarneau A. (4) | Gojo B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
