Andres Andrade vs Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/10/2024 at 19:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil (Ecuador), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
61%57%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (29/45)53% (23/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)39% (13/33)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
49% (21/43)36% (16/45)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (20/33)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
59% (44/74)47% (35/75)
Return Points Won
53% (40/75)41% (30/74)
Total Points Won
56% (84/149)44% (65/149)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Andres Andrade
31.6%
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andres Andrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andres Andrade's form might have worsened.
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andres Andrade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Andres Andrade - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.37)

    1.36
    (1.54)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Andres Andrade - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Andrade will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Varillas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Andrade is ranked ATP: 246. Varillas Patino-Samudio is ranked ATP: 205.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Andrade could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Varillas Patino-Samudio is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Andrade won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    Latest results of Andres Andrade
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Andrade A. (9)Gima S.2 : 0
    2Jorda Sanchis D.Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. (Q)2 : 1
    3Saraiva Dos Santos P. A.Yunez L. (WC)2 : 1
    4Martinez T. (Q)Gomez F. A. (8)0 : 2
    5Habib H. (3)Price S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Roncadelli F. (RET.)Aguilar Cardozo J. (Alt)0 : 1
    7Aguilar J. C. M. (LL)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    8Dickerson R. (Alt)Dellien Velasco M. A. (7)0 : 2
    9Pacheco Mendez R. (6)Mena F.1 : 2
    10Rodriguez L. J.Estevez J. (Alt)0 : 2
    11Casanova H.Hernandez A.2 : 1
    12Camacho E. (WC)Guillen Meza A. (4)0 : 2
    13Bueno G. (5)Aguilar Cardozo F. (Q)2 : 0
    14McCormick T.Ambrogi L. E.0 : 2
    15Martinez L. D. (Q)Galarraga M. A. (RET.) (WC)1 : 1
    16Ratti L. (Q)Vallejo D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Andrade A. (9)Jorda Sanchis D.
    2Saraiva Dos Santos P. A.Gomez F. A. (8)
    3Habib H. (3)Aguilar Cardozo J.
    4Varillas J. P.Dellien Velasco M. A. (7)
    5Mena F.Estevez J.
    6Casanova H.Guillen Meza A. (4)
    7Bueno G. (5)Ambrogi L. E.
    8Martinez L. D.Vallejo D. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2