Andrew Paulson vs Stefano Napolitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Como Challenger Men Andrew Paulson - Stefano Napolitano
Result
2:1
27/08/2024 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Concas R. (Ita)

Match Stats

Aces
911
Double Faults
93
1st Serve Percentage
56%55%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (42/60)68% (36/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (26/48)57% (25/44)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
32% (17/53)30% (18/60)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (19/44)46% (22/48)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)50% (3/6)
Max Points In Row
58
Service Points Won
63% (68/108)63% (61/97)
Return Points Won
37% (36/97)37% (40/108)
Total Points Won
51% (104/205)49% (101/205)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Andrew Paulson
36.9%
Stefano Napolitano
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 61.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrew Paulson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Andrew Paulson - Stefano Napolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.47)

    1.49
    (1.49)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Andrew Paulson - Stefano Napolitano?
  • Users Predictions: Andrew Paulson will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paulson is ranked ATP: 361. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 136.
    • Paulson is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Napolitano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Napolitano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Napolitano will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Andrew Paulson
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kovalik J. (1)Basilashvili N. (Q)1 : 2
    2Nishikori K. (PR)Vincent Ruggeri S.2 : 0
    3Jianu F. C.Gulin S. (Q)2 : 1
    4Debru G.Hassan B. (7)2 : 0
    5Passaro F. (4)Planinsek F. J.2 : 1
    6Rehberg M. H. (Q)Olivieri G. A.0 : 2
    7Bondioli F. (WC)Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    8Travaglia S.Popko D. (6)2 : 0
    9Piros Z. (8)Bueno G.2 : 0
    10Brancaccio R. (WC)Pucinelli de Almeida M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Bertola R.Paire B. (RET.)0 : 0
    12Molcan A. (Alt)Heide G. (3)2 : 0
    13Weis A. (LL)Misolic F.1 : 2
    14Cecchinato M. (WC)Buse I.0 : 2
    15Aboian V. (Q)Arnaboldi F.2 : 0
    16Paulson A. (Alt)Napolitano S. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Basilashvili N. (RET.)Nishikori K.0 : 1
    2Jianu F. C.Debru G.0 : 2
    3Passaro F. (4)Olivieri G. A.1 : 2
    4Bondioli F.Travaglia S.0 : 2
    5Piros Z. (8)Brancaccio R.2 : 0
    6Bertola R.Molcan A.1 : 2
    7Misolic F.Buse I.0 : 2
    8Aboian V.Paulson A.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Nishikori K.Debru G. (WO.)
    2Olivieri G. A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    3Piros Z. (8)Molcan A.1 : 2
    4Buse I.Aboian V.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Debru G.Travaglia S.2 : 0
    2Molcan A.Buse I.1 : 2

    Final
    1Debru G.Buse I.2 : 1