Lorenzo Carboni vs Andrey Chepelev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
37

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Carboni
63.7%
Andrey Chepelev
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Carboni's performance.
  • Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Carboni that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lorenzo Carboni - Andrey Chepelev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.65)

    2.56
    (2.07)
    7.7%
    (9.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Carboni is ranked ATP: 463. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 430.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Chepelev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Carboni might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carboni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Carboni - Andrey Chepelev were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Andrey Chepelev - Lorenzo Carboni 2:0
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Latest results of Andrey Chepelev