Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 72% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (29/38) | 79% (38/48) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 58% (11/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 67% (4/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 21% (10/48) | 24% (9/38) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 45% (15/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 60% (3/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 61% (14/23) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (47/71) | 73% (49/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (18/67) | 34% (24/71) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (65/138) | 53% (73/138) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 85% (11/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 46% (12/26) | 54% (14/26) |
Chances of winning
Alexander Bublik
26.8% | Andrey Rublev
73.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↑
(2.99) |
|
1.3 ↓
(1.38) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Rublev will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 32% – 80.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 40%). Rublev (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5 Games - Bublik (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Bublik (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rublev (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Bublik is ranked ATP: 75. Rublev is ranked ATP: 8.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bublik won 3.
- Bublik is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Rublev is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Rublev is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Bublik won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:12 (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Bublik won against Andrey Rublev?
Alexander Bublik has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrey Rublev won against Alexander Bublik?
Andrey Rublev has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
18.02.2025
Andrey Rublev
-
Alexander Bublik
2:0
01.03.2024
Alexander Bublik
-
Andrey Rublev
Bublik A. awarded
09.07.2023
Andrey Rublev
-
Alexander Bublik
3:2
25.06.2023
Andrey Rublev
-
Alexander Bublik
1:2
Latest results of Alexander Bublik
Latest results of Andrey Rublev
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. (Q) | Droguet T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Moller E. (Q) | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 5 | Norrie C. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Machac T. | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bautista-Agut R. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (15) | |
| 9 | Rublev A. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Sonego L. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 13 | Fonseca J. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bergs Z. | Cilic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Jodar R. (WC) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Ofner S. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 21 | Fils A. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Buse I. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Brooksby J. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 25 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Muller A. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 29 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Faria J. (Q) | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 33 | Bublik A. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Kypson P. (LL) | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 37 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Munar J. | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Hanfmann Y. | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Altmaier D. | Cerundolo J. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Garin C. (LL) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Gaubas V. (Q) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 49 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Marozsan F. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 53 | Tien L. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Vallejo D. (Q) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Monfils G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Popyrin A. | Damm M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 61 | Humbert U. (30) | Bye | |
| 62 | Atmane T. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Borges N. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bonzi B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Moller E. (Q) | Diallo G. (RET.) (32) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Norrie C. (19) | Machac T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Paul T. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (9) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Rinderknech A. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Fonseca J. (WO.) (27) | Cilic M. | |
| 8 | Jodar R. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Prizmic D. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Ofner S. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Fils A. (21) | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nava E. | Vacherot V. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Michelsen A. (33) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Hurkacz H. | Musetti L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Bublik A. (8) | Tsitsipas S. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Merida Aguilar D. | Moutet C. (26) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Hanfmann Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Cerundolo J. M. | Darderi L. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Gaubas V. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (7) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Shapovalov D. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tien L. (17) | Vallejo D. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Cobolli F. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (13) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Damm M. | Mensik J. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Humbert U. (30) | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Navone M. | Zverev A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Moller E. | |
| 2 | Norrie C. (19) | Tirante T. A. | |
| 3 | Kopriva V. | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 4 | Fonseca J. (27) | Jodar R. | |
| 5 | Prizmic D. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 6 | Fils A. (21) | Nava E. | |
| 7 | Lehecka J. (11) | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 8 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 9 | Tsitsipas S. | Merida Aguilar D. | |
| 10 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 12 | Blockx A. | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (7) | Budkov Kjaer N. | |
| 14 | Vallejo D. | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 15 | Khachanov K. (13) | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 16 | Atmane T. | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
