Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Roma Fabian Marozsan - Andrey Rublev
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
85
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
64%54%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (48/67)72% (42/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (15/37)42% (21/50)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)72% (13/18)
1st Return Points Won
28% (16/58)28% (19/67)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (29/50)59% (22/37)
Break Points Converted
28% (5/18)44% (4/9)
Winners
3332
Unforced Errors
3630
Net Points Won
30% (3/10)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
61% (63/104)58% (63/108)
Return Points Won
42% (45/108)39% (41/104)
Total Points Won
51% (108/212)49% (104/212)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Fabian Marozsan
43.4%
Andrey Rublev
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabian Marozsan's performance.
  • Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Rublev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Fabian Marozsan - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.5)

    1.69
    (1.54)
    4.7%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Fabian Marozsan - Andrey Rublev?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Rublev will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 28.1%78.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marozsan is ranked ATP: 61. Rublev is ranked ATP: 17.
    • Marozsan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rublev's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rublev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Rublev might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marozsan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fabian Marozsan - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
    06.02.2025 Andrey Rublev - Fabian Marozsan 2:0
    02.01.2025 Andrey Rublev - Fabian Marozsan 1:2
    25.07.2024 Andrey Rublev - Fabian Marozsan 2:1
    Latest results of Fabian Marozsan
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Navone M.Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    3De Jong J. (LL)Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (25)
    5Cerundolo F. (17)Bye
    6Gaston H.Jarry N.0 : 2
    7Carballes Baena R. (RET.)Ofner S. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeTiafoe F. (15)
    9Shelton B. (12)Bye
    10Barrios Vera T. (Q)Munar J.1 : 2
    11Vukic A.Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeKorda S. (22)
    13Berrettini M. (29)Bye
    14Fearnley J.Fognini F. (WC)2 : 0
    15Bublik A.Safiullin R.2 : 0
    16ByeRuud C. (6)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Diallo G.Giron M.1 : 2
    19Bellucci M.Martinez P.0 : 2
    20ByeHurkacz H. (30)
    21Mensik J. (20)Bye
    22Rinderknech A.Gigante M. (WC)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Fonseca J.2 : 0
    24ByeRublev A. (16)
    25Paul T. (11)Bye
    26Arnaldi M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    27Tien L.Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    28ByeMachac T. (19)
    29Dellien H. (LL)Bye
    30Borges N.Seyboth Wild T. (Q)1 : 2
    31Nardi L. (WC)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    33Draper J. (5)Bye
    34Bu Y.Darderi L.0 : 2
    35Kopriva V. (Q)Halys Q.2 : 0
    36ByeBaez S. (32)
    37Humbert U. (21)Bye
    38Hijikata R.Moutet C.1 : 2
    39Altmaier D.Comesana F.0 : 2
    40ByeRune H. (9)
    41Dimitrov G. (14)Bye
    42Passaro F. (WC)Tseng C. H. (Q)2 : 1
    43Sonego L.Burruchaga R. A. (Q)0 : 2
    44ByeKhachanov K. (23)
    45Michelsen A. (31)Bye
    46Djere L.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    47Nishioka Y.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeAlcaraz C. (3)
    49Musetti L. (8)Bye
    50Medjedovic H.Virtanen O. (Q)0 : 2
    51Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    52ByeNakashima B. (28)
    53Popyrin A. (24)Bye
    54Taberner C. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    55O'Connell C.Norrie C. (LL)0 : 2
    56ByeMedvedev D. (10)
    57Fils A. (13)Bye
    58Griekspoor T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    59Lehecka J.Muller A.1 : 2
    60ByeTsitsipas S. (18)
    61Shapovalov D. (27)Bye
    62Gaubas V. (Q)Dzumhur D.2 : 1
    63Ugo Carabelli C.Carreno-Busta P. (LL)2 : 1
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2De Jong J.Davidovich Fokina A. (25)2 : 0
    3Cerundolo F. (17)Jarry N.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Tiafoe F. (15)2 : 1
    5Shelton B. (12)Munar J.0 : 2
    6Vukic A.Korda S. (22)0 : 2
    7Berrettini M. (29)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    8Bublik A.Ruud C. (6)1 : 2
    9Fritz T. (4)Giron M.0 : 2
    10Martinez P.Hurkacz H. (30)0 : 2
    11Mensik J. (20)Gigante M.2 : 0
    12Marozsan F.Rublev A. (16)2 : 1
    13Paul T. (11)Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Machac T. (19)0 : 2
    15Dellien H.Seyboth Wild T.2 : 1
    16Nardi L.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    17Draper J. (5)Darderi L.2 : 0
    18Kopriva V.Baez S. (32)2 : 1
    19Humbert U. (RET.) (21)Moutet C.0 : 1
    20Comesana F.Rune H. (9)1 : 2
    21Dimitrov G. (14)Passaro F.0 : 2
    22Burruchaga R. A.Khachanov K. (23)1 : 2
    23Michelsen A. (31)Djere L.0 : 2
    24Lajovic D.Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    25Musetti L. (8)Virtanen O.2 : 0
    26Thompson J.Nakashima B. (WO.) (28)
    27Popyrin A. (24)Taberner C.2 : 0
    28Norrie C.Medvedev D. (10)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (13)Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    30Muller A.Tsitsipas S. (18)0 : 2
    31Shapovalov D. (27)Gaubas V.0 : 2
    32Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Jong J.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo F. (17)Ofner S.2 : 0
    3Munar J.Korda S. (22)2 : 0
    4Berrettini M. (RET.) (29)Ruud C. (6)0 : 1
    5Giron M.Hurkacz H. (30)1 : 2
    6Mensik J. (20)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    7Paul T. (11)Machac T. (19)2 : 1
    8Dellien H.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    10Moutet C.Rune H. (9)2 : 1
    11Passaro F.Khachanov K. (23)0 : 2
    12Djere L.Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    13Musetti L. (8)Nakashima B. (28)2 : 0
    14Popyrin A. (24)Medvedev D. (10)0 : 2
    15Fils A. (13)Tsitsipas S. (18)2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cerundolo F. (17)2 : 0
    2Munar J.Ruud C. (6)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (30)Mensik J. (20)2 : 1
    4Paul T. (11)De Minaur A. (7)2 : 0
    5Draper J. (5)Moutet C.2 : 1
    6Khachanov K. (23)Alcaraz C. (3)1 : 2
    7Musetti L. (8)Medvedev D. (10)2 : 0
    8Fils A. (13)Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Ruud C. (6)2 : 0
    2Hurkacz H. (30)Paul T. (11)0 : 2
    3Draper J. (5)Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2
    4Musetti L. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Paul T. (11)2 : 1
    2Alcaraz C. (3)Musetti L. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Alcaraz C. (3)0 : 2