Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
19/02/2026 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
85
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
64%61%
1st serve points won
79% (31/39)79% (34/43)
2nd serve points won
41% (9/22)57% (16/28)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)100% (5/5)
1st return points won
30% (13/43)21% (8/39)
2nd return points won
43% (12/28)59% (13/22)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/5)100% (2/2)
Winners
1925
Unforced errors
1912
Net points won
80% (12/15)91% (10/11)
Service Points Won
66% (40/61)70% (50/71)
Return Points Won
30% (21/71)34% (21/61)
Total Points Won
46% (61/132)54% (71/132)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
82% (9/11)100% (10/10)
Return games won
0% (0/10)18% (2/11)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Stefanos Tsitsipas
42.8%
Andrey Rublev
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 52.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.17)

    1.68
    (1.72)
    4.7%
    (4.2%)
    What is the prediction for Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Rublev will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 48.9%92.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 23.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 33. Rublev is ranked ATP: 14.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tsitsipas won 3.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Tsitsipas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tsitsipas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas 1:0
    18.12.2022 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev 2:1
    18.11.2022 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev 1:2
    08.10.2022 Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas 1:2
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Royer V.Herbert P. (Q)2 : 0
    3Fucsovics M.Habib H. (WC)2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (4)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Echargui M. (WC)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    7Humbert U.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    9Lehecka J. (8)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    10Bergs Z.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    11Fils A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    12Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Halys Q. (LL)1 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Choinski J. (Q)2 : 1
    14Zhang Z. (PR)Carballes Baena R. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zayid M. S. (WC)Popyrin A.0 : 2
    16Machac T.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Royer V.2 : 0
    2Fucsovics M.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (4)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    4Marozsan F.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (8)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    6Fils A.Halys Q.2 : 0
    7Mensik J. (6)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    8Popyrin A.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Khachanov K. (7)2 : 1
    2Tsitsipas S.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3Lehecka J. (8)Fils A.0 : 2
    4Mensik J. (6)Sinner J. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    2Fils A.Mensik J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A.2 : 0