Andrey Rublev vs Ugo Humbert – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
1517
Double Faults
74
1st serve percentage
64%60%
1st serve points won
87% (55/63)77% (48/62)
2nd serve points won
49% (17/35)49% (20/41)
Break Points Saved
100% (4/4)78% (7/9)
1st return points won
23% (14/62)13% (8/63)
2nd return points won
51% (21/41)51% (18/35)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)0% (0/4)
Winners
2738
Unforced errors
1718
Net points won
90% (9/10)58% (7/12)
Service Points Won
73% (72/98)66% (68/103)
Return Points Won
34% (35/103)27% (26/98)
Total Points Won
53% (107/201)47% (94/201)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (16/16)87% (13/15)
Return games won
13% (2/15)0% (0/16)
Total games won
58% (18/31)42% (13/31)

Chances of winning


Andrey Rublev
67.3%
Ugo Humbert
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrey Rublev's performance.
  • Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrey Rublev that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.62)

    3.06
    (2.3)
    2%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2 Games - Rublev (1.95) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -2.5 Games - Rublev (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Andrey Rublev will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Rublev (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Humbert (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rublev is ranked ATP: 18. Humbert is ranked ATP: 37.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 3.
    • Rublev is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Humbert has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rublev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rublev could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert were as follows:
    13.10.2023 Ugo Humbert - Andrey Rublev 0:2
    30.09.2023 Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert 1:2
    12.03.2023 Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert 2:0
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Latest results of Ugo Humbert
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Zhang Z. (PR)2 : 0
    2Echargui M. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q)1 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    4Nardi L. (LL)Lehecka J. (8)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (3)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Wawrinka S. (WC)Hassan B. (WC)2 : 0
    7Bergs Z.Brooksby J.0 : 2
    8Shevchenko A. (LL)Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    9Rublev A. (5)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Humbert U.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    11Marozsan F.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    12Halys Q. (Q)Draper J. (4)0 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    15Virtanen O. (Q)Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    16Struff J-L. (LL)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lehecka J. (8)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (3)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Brooksby J.Khachanov K. (7)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (5)Humbert U.2 : 1
    6Rinderknech A.Draper J. (4)2 : 1
    7Mensik J. (6)Popyrin A.2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T.Bublik A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Lehecka J. (8)2 : 0
    2Medvedev D. (3)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    3Rublev A. (5)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    4Mensik J. (6)Griekspoor T.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    2Rublev A. (5)Griekspoor T.0 : 2

    Final
    1Medvedev D. (WO.) (3)Griekspoor T.