Anguiano vs Varea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, ,
  • 13', 1 - 1, Fernandez I. ,
  • 45', 1 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Anguiano
35.1%
Draw
31.2%
Varea
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 31% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 33.1% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Anguiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anguiano's form might have worsened.
  • Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varea's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anguiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varea than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Anguiano - Varea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.24)
    2.9
    (2.93)
    2.69
    (3.21)
    10.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anguiano won 3.
    • In recent matches, Anguiano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Varea is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Anguiano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Anguiano could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Anguiano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Anguiano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Anguiano - Varea were as follows:
    26.05.2024 Anguiano - Varea 2:1
    19.05.2024 Varea - Anguiano 1:1
    04.02.2024 Varea - Anguiano 0:2
    17.09.2023 Anguiano - Varea 2:0
    07.05.2023 Varea - Anguiano 4:2
    Latest results of Anguiano
    07.12.2025 Anguiano - Autol 1:0
    23.11.2025 Berceo - Anguiano 1:1
    02.11.2025 Anguiano - Pradejón 0:0
    Latest results of Varea
    14.12.2025 Varea - Haro Deportivo 3:0
    06.12.2025 Agoncillo - Varea 0:1
    16.11.2025 Calahorra - Varea 1:1
    09.11.2025 Varea - Comillas 2:0
    02.11.2025 Vianés - Varea 1:5
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B24177057:144358
    2Varea24184241:152658
    3Anguiano24137434:191546
    4Arnedo24128444:212344
    5Oyonesa24124836:30640
    6Calahorra24109557:193839
    7Agoncillo24116743:291439
    8Haro Deportivo24105938:37135
    9Yague2489736:32433
    10Vianes24861026:32-630
    11Pradejon24761121:28-727
    12Berceo24681029:36-726
    13CDFC Calzada24751228:37-926
    14San Marcial24751225:37-1226
    15Comillas24731420:45-2524
    16Villegas24641423:49-2622
    17Autol24341717:54-3713
    18Pena Balsamaiso24081616:57-418

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation