Kocaelispor vs Ankaragücü – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü
Result
1:1
10/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 29
  • Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.81
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
1912
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
97
Blocked Shots
70
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
124
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
138
Offsides
32
Fouls
813
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
3217
Touches in the Opposition Box
1817
Passes
81% (417/515)69% (216/312)
Passes in the final third
66% (102/154)63% (50/79)
Crosses
35% (8/23)43% (3/7)
Tackles
67% (10/15)69% (11/16)
Clearances Total
1427
Interceptions
1415

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Serbest T. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Owusu , Rotariu D. (A),
  • 35', Osmanpasa C. 🟨,
  • 43', Celik C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gedik E. , Cinan M. ,
  • 46', Celik C. , Vukovic J. ,
  • 61', Bajic R. , Cephas R. ,
  • 61', Yalcin S. , Gedik F. ,
  • 69', Guneren A. K. , Cokcalis I. ,
  • 69', Schulz N. , Rakoczy M. ,
  • 72', Oztonga O. , Alici B. ,
  • 76', Ozbir E. 🟨,
  • 76', Caglayan O. , Sagat A. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Marcao , Alici B. (A),
  • 82', Rotariu D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cokcalis I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Celik O. , Gultekin Y. ,
  • 90+4', Owusu , Astanakulov S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
58.8%
Draw
24.6%
Ankaragücü
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 26.4% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 25.5% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.72)
    3.79
    (3.52)
    5.56
    (4.75)
    7.5%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü?
  • Users Predictions: Kocaelispor will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 15).
    • Kocaelispor is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Ankaragücü is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kocaelispor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Ankaragücü - Kocaelispor 4:2
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Latest results of Ankaragücü
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
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    11Manisa FK21013:303
    12Umraniyespor21012:203
    13Bodrumspor20202:202
    14Istanbulspor AS20200:002
    15Boluspor20113:4-11
    16Sariyer30123:5-21
    17Amedspor20112:4-21
    18Sivasspor20111:3-21
    19Hatayspor20022:5-30
    20Adana Demirspor30122:9-7-5

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation