Ann Li vs Rebecca Sramkova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Osaka Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova
Result
1:2
15/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
87
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
57%69%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (32/40)64% (44/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (15/30)61% (19/31)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)89% (8/9)
1st Return Points Won
38% (26/69)25% (10/40)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (12/31)50% (15/30)
Break Points Converted
11% (1/9)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
67% (46/69)63% (62/99)
Return Points Won
37% (37/99)33% (23/69)
Total Points Won
49% (83/168)51% (85/168)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)92% (12/13)
Return Games Won
8% (1/13)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Ann Li
54.5%
Rebecca Sramkova
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ann Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Rebecca Sramkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.67)

    2.09
    (2.03)
    3.9%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Li will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Sramkova will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Li: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Li (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sramkova (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Li is ranked WTA: 42. Sramkova is ranked WTA: 65.
    • Li is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sramkova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Li won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova were as follows:
    25.08.2025 Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova 2:1
    08.07.2024 Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova 2:0
    Latest results of Ann Li
    13.10.2025 Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva 2:0
    07.10.2025 Emma Raducanu - Ann Li Raducanu E. retired
    31.08.2025 Jessica Pegula - Ann Li 2:0
    Latest results of Rebecca Sramkova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Sonobe W. (WC)2 : 0
    2Lamens S.Arango E.2 : 0
    3Cristian J.Cocciaretto E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Volynets K. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (3)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    6Valentova T. (Q)Eala A.2 : 0
    7Sakkari M.Krueger A.1 : 2
    8Hibino N. (WC)Danilovic O. (6)1 : 2
    9Li A. (7)Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
    10Garland J. (Q)Sramkova R.0 : 2
    11Galfi D. (Q)Parks A.2 : 0
    12Baptiste H.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    13Bouzkova M. (5)Shibahara E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Golubic V.Andreescu B.2 : 1
    15Cirstea S.Uchijima M. (WC)2 : 1
    16Boulter K.Noskova L. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Lamens S.2 : 1
    2Cristian J.Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)2 : 1
    3Mertens E. (3)Valentova T.0 : 2
    4Krueger A.Danilovic O. (6)0 : 2
    5Li A. (7)Sramkova R.1 : 2
    6Galfi D.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    7Bouzkova M. (5)Golubic V.1 : 2
    8Cirstea S.Boulter K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Cristian J. (WO.)
    2Valentova T.Danilovic O. (6)2 : 1
    3Sramkova R.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    4Golubic V.Cirstea S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cristian J.Valentova T.1 : 2
    2Fernandez L. (4)Cirstea S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Valentova T.Fernandez L. (4)1 : 2