Ann Li vs Varvara Gracheva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Osaka Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva
Result
2:0
13/10/2025 at 22:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
07
1st Serve Percentage
66%54%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (20/25)47% (15/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (7/13)33% (9/27)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)50% (6/12)
1st Return Points Won
53% (17/32)28% (7/25)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (18/27)46% (6/13)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
70% (26/37)41% (24/59)
Return Points Won
59% (35/59)30% (11/37)
Total Points Won
64% (61/96)36% (35/96)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Ann Li
60.1%
Varvara Gracheva
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ann Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.48)

    2.39
    (2.56)
    4.9%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Li (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Li is ranked WTA: 42. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 83.
    • Recent form of Li has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gracheva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Li will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Li won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva were as follows:
    31.10.2022 Ann Li - Varvara Gracheva 2:1
    Latest results of Ann Li
    07.10.2025 Emma Raducanu - Ann Li Raducanu E. retired
    31.08.2025 Jessica Pegula - Ann Li 2:0
    29.08.2025 Priscilla Hon - Ann Li 0:2
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Sonobe W. (WC)2 : 0
    2Lamens S.Arango E.2 : 0
    3Cristian J.Cocciaretto E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Volynets K. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (3)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    6Valentova T. (Q)Eala A.2 : 0
    7Sakkari M.Krueger A.1 : 2
    8Hibino N. (WC)Danilovic O. (6)1 : 2
    9Li A. (7)Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
    10Garland J. (Q)Sramkova R.0 : 2
    11Galfi D. (Q)Parks A.2 : 0
    12Baptiste H.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    13Bouzkova M. (5)Shibahara E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Golubic V.Andreescu B.2 : 1
    15Cirstea S.Uchijima M. (WC)2 : 1
    16Boulter K.Noskova L. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Lamens S.2 : 1
    2Cristian J.Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)2 : 1
    3Mertens E. (3)Valentova T.0 : 2
    4Krueger A.Danilovic O. (6)0 : 2
    5Li A. (7)Sramkova R.1 : 2
    6Galfi D.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    7Bouzkova M. (5)Golubic V.1 : 2
    8Cirstea S.Boulter K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Cristian J. (WO.)
    2Valentova T.Danilovic O. (6)2 : 1
    3Sramkova R.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    4Golubic V.Cirstea S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cristian J.Valentova T.1 : 2
    2Fernandez L. (4)Cirstea S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Valentova T.Fernandez L. (4)1 : 2