Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anna Kalinskaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/08/2025 at 21:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
8	5
Double Faults
7	10
1st Serve Percentage
66%	61%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (52/68)	75% (47/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (14/35)	50% (20/40)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)	83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
29% (18/63)	25% (17/68)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (20/40)	60% (21/35)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)	30% (3/10)
Service Points Won
62% (64/103)	64% (66/103)
Return Points Won
36% (37/103)	38% (39/103)
Total Points Won
49% (101/206)	51% (105/206)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)	92% (12/13)
Return Games Won
8% (1/13)	20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
46% (13/28)	54% (15/28)

Chances of winning

Ekaterina Alexandrova
62.1%

Anna Kalinskaya
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Anna Kalinskaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anna Kalinskaya Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.58)		2.5 ↑ (2.39)	4.7% (5.3%)

What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anna Kalinskaya?

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Kalinskaya will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalinskaya: 46.6% – 82%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Anna Kalinskaya will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 16. Kalinskaya is ranked WTA: 34.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 5.
Recent performances by Alexandrova have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kalinskaya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Alexandrova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 1.8:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Alexandrova won against Anna Kalinskaya?

Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Anna Kalinskaya won against Ekaterina Alexandrova?

Anna Kalinskaya has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anna Kalinskaya were as follows:

09.10.2024 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anna Kalinskaya 2:1

25.09.2023 Anna Kalinskaya - Ekaterina Alexandrova 1:2

Latest results of Ekaterina Alexandrova

11.08.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Maya Joint 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lulu Sun 2:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lin Zhu 1:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anna Bondar 1:2 ✺

17.07.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Caroline Werner 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Anna Kalinskaya

11.08.2025 Anna Kalinskaya - Amanda Anisimova 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Anna Kalinskaya - Peyton Stearns 2:1 ✺

01.08.2025 Anna Kalinskaya - Elina Svitolina 0:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya 1:2 ✺

29.07.2025 Ann Li - Anna Kalinskaya 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Vondrousova M.	Cristian J.	2 : 0
3	Danilovic O.	Boulter K.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Raducanu E. (30)
5	Fernandez L. (21)	Bye
6	Williams V. (WC)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
7	Collins D.	Townsend T. (WC)	0 : 2
8	Bye	Samsonova L. (13)
9	Rybakina E. (9)	Bye
10	Zarazua R.	Putintseva Y.	2 : 1
11	Ngounoue C. (Q)	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
12	Bye	Mertens E. (19)
13	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Bye
14	Ito A. (Q)	Ruse G.	2 : 0
15	Pera B. (WC)	Lys E.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Keys M. (6)
17	Swiatek I. (3)	Bye
18	Potapova A.	Siegemund L. (Q)	2 : 0
19	Osuigwe W. (Q)	Maria T.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Kostyuk M. (25)
21	Frech M. (22)	Bye
22	Cirstea S.	Vekic D.	2 : 1
23	Bucsa C. (LL)	Yuan Y. (LL)	0 : 2
24	Bye	Shnaider D. (14)
25	Alexandrova E. (12)	Bye
26	Sun L.	Ruzic A. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Joint M.	Minnen G.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Haddad Maia B. (18)
29	Kalinskaya A. (28)	Bye
30	Stearns P.	Wang Y.	2 : 0
31	Starodubtseva Y.	Jeanjean L. (Q)	1 : 2
32	Bye	Anisimova A. (5)
33	Navarro E. (8)	Bye
34	Kudermetova P.	Seidel E. (Q)	1 : 2
35	McNally C. (WC)	Inglis M. (Q)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Kessler M. (29)
37	Kenin S. (24)	Bye
38	Gracheva V. (Q)	Volynets K. (WC)	2 : 1
39	Kartal S.	Garcia C. (WC)	1 : 2
40	Bye	Muchova K. (11)
41	Tauson C. (16)	Bye
42	Bondar A.	Tomljanovic A.	0 : 2
43	Lamens S.	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Bencic B. (17)
45	Linette M. (31)	Bye
46	Dolehide C.	Sramkova R.	1 : 2
47	Blinkova A.	Birrell K.	0 : 2
48	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
49	Paolini J. (7)	Bye
50	Rakhimova K. (Q)	Sakkari M.	1 : 2
51	Sevastova A.	Bektas E. (Q)	2 : 1
52	Bye	Krueger A. (26)
53	Noskova L. (20)	Bye
54	Jovic I. (LL)	Sierra S. (LL)	2 : 0
55	Parks A.	Krejcikova B.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Svitolina E. (10)
57	Kasatkina D. (15)	Bye
58	Zhu L.	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
59	Uchijima M.	Osorio C.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (23)
61	Yastremska D. (32)	Bye
62	Li A.	Tomova V. (Q)	0 : 2
63	Wang Xin.	Arango E.	2 : 0
64	Bye	Gauff C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Vondrousova M.	2 : 0
2	Danilovic O.	Raducanu E. (30)	0 : 2
3	Fernandez L. (21)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
4	Townsend T.	Samsonova L. (13)	2 : 0
5	Rybakina E. (9)	Zarazua R.	2 : 1
6	Ngounoue C.	Mertens E. (19)	1 : 2
7	Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)	Ito A.	1 : 2
8	Lys E.	Keys M. (6)	1 : 2
9	Swiatek I. (3)	Potapova A.	2 : 0
10	Maria T.	Kostyuk M. (25)	0 : 2
11	Frech M. (22)	Cirstea S.	1 : 2
12	Yuan Y.	Shnaider D. (14)	2 : 1
13	Alexandrova E. (12)	Sun L.	2 : 0
14	Joint M.	Haddad Maia B. (18)	2 : 1
15	Kalinskaya A. (28)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
16	Jeanjean L.	Anisimova A. (WO.) (5)
17	Navarro E. (8)	Seidel E.	1 : 2
18	McNally C.	Kessler M. (29)	0 : 2
19	Kenin S. (24)	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
20	Garcia C.	Muchova K. (11)	0 : 2
21	Tauson C. (16)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 1
22	Kudermetova V.	Bencic B. (17)	2 : 0
23	Linette M. (31)	Sramkova R.	2 : 0
24	Birrell K.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
25	Paolini J. (7)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
26	Sevastova A.	Krueger A. (26)	1 : 2
27	Noskova L. (20)	Jovic I.	0 : 2
28	Krejcikova B.	Svitolina E. (10)	2 : 1
29	Kasatkina D. (15)	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
30	Osorio C.	Ostapenko J. (WO.) (23)
31	Yastremska D. (32)	Tomova V.	2 : 1
32	Wang Xin.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Raducanu E. (30)	2 : 1
2	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Townsend T.	2 : 0
3	Rybakina E. (9)	Mertens E. (19)	2 : 1
4	Ito A.	Keys M. (6)	0 : 2
5	Swiatek I. (WO.) (3)	Kostyuk M. (25)
6	Cirstea S.	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
7	Alexandrova E. (12)	Joint M.	2 : 0
8	Kalinskaya A. (28)	Anisimova A. (5)	2 : 0
9	Seidel E.	Kessler M. (29)	2 : 1
10	Gracheva V.	Muchova K. (11)	2 : 0
11	Tauson C. (16)	Kudermetova V.	1 : 2
12	Linette M. (31)	Pegula J. (4)	2 : 1
13	Paolini J. (7)	Krueger A. (26)	2 : 0
14	Jovic I.	Krejcikova B.	1 : 2
15	Bronzetti L.	Ostapenko J. (23)	2 : 1
16	Yastremska D. (32)	Gauff C. (WO.) (2)

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (9)	Keys M. (6)	2 : 1
3	Swiatek I. (3)	Cirstea S.	2 : 0
4	Alexandrova E. (12)	Kalinskaya A. (28)	1 : 2
5	Seidel E.	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
6	Kudermetova V.	Linette M. (31)	2 : 0
7	Paolini J. (7)	Krejcikova B.	2 : 0
8	Bronzetti L.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rybakina E. (9)	0 : 2
2	Swiatek I. (3)	Kalinskaya A. (28)	2 : 0
3	Gracheva V.	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
4	Paolini J. (7)	Gauff C. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Rybakina E. (9)	Swiatek I. (3)	0 : 2
2	Kudermetova V.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2

Final

1

Swiatek I. (3)

Paolini J. (7)

2 : 0