Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Alina Korneeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
58
1st serve percentage
60%64%
1st serve points won
62% (31/50)73% (35/48)
2nd serve points won
35% (12/34)26% (7/27)
Break Points Saved
50% (8/16)75% (9/12)
1st return points won
27% (13/48)48% (24/50)
2nd return points won
74% (20/27)65% (22/34)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)50% (8/16)
Service Points Won
45% (39/86)56% (43/77)
Return Points Won
44% (34/77)55% (47/86)
Total Points Won
45% (73/163)55% (90/163)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
27% (3/11)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)73% (8/11)
Total games won
29% (6/21)71% (15/21)

Chances of winning


Anna-Lena Friedsam
28.2%
Alina Korneeva
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 60.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Anna-Lena Friedsam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anna-Lena Friedsam's form might have worsened.
  • Alina Korneeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alina Korneeva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna-Lena Friedsam than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anna-Lena Friedsam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Korneeva than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alina Korneeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Anna-Lena Friedsam - Alina Korneeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.75)

    1.3
    (1.4)
    7%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Friedsam is ranked WTA: 184. Korneeva is ranked WTA: 157.
    • Friedsam is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Korneeva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Korneeva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Korneeva is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alina Korneeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Avanesyan E.2 : 1
    2Voloshchuk A. (WC)Stefanini L.1 : 2
    3Jorge M. (WC)Lepchenko V. (Q)2 : 0
    4Tomova V.Quevedo K. (9)0 : 2
    5Jimenez Kasintseva V. (4)Romero Gormaz L.0 : 2
    6Salkova D.Radivojevic L.0 : 2
    7Friedsam A-L.Korneeva A. (WC)1 : 2
    8Jakupovic D. (Q)Minnen G. (7)0 : 2
    9Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (5)Parrizas-Diaz N. (Q)1 : 2
    10Chwalinska M.Noha Akugue N. (Q)2 : 1
    11Shymanovich I.Monnet C.2 : 1
    12Bolsova Zadoinov A.Lamens S. (3)0 : 2
    13Klimovicova L. (8)Jorge F.0 : 2
    14Vidmanova D.Amorim G. (WC)2 : 0
    15Liang E. S. (LL)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    16Crawley F.Galfi D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Stefanini L.1 : 2
    2Jorge M.Quevedo K. (9)2 : 1
    3Romero Gormaz L.Radivojevic L.2 : 0
    4Korneeva A.Minnen G. (7)2 : 1
    5Parrizas-Diaz N.Chwalinska M.0 : 2
    6Shymanovich I.Lamens S. (3)0 : 2
    7Jorge F.Vidmanova D.1 : 2
    8Kalinina A.Galfi D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Stefanini L.Jorge M.1 : 2
    2Romero Gormaz L.Korneeva A.0 : 2
    3Chwalinska M.Lamens S. (3)2 : 0
    4Vidmanova D.Galfi D. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jorge M.Korneeva A.0 : 2
    2Chwalinska M.Vidmanova D.1 : 2

    Final
    1Korneeva A.Vidmanova D.2 : 0