Result
3:1
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (305/410) | 79% (372/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (305/410) | 79% (372/469) |
| Long passes |
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| 49% (41/84) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/92) | 58% (62/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, El Idrissy M. ⚽, Titi Y. (A),
- 36', Gozzi P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Koutoune H. ↓, Billemaz C. ↑,
- 59', Kouadio J. 🟨,
- 68', El Idrissy M. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 0, Assoumou J. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
- 72', Toure B. ↓, Venot P. ↑,
- 72', Hbouch A. ↓, Tiendrebeogo J. ↑,
- 72', Paris Q. ↓, Rambaud T. ↑,
- 81', Adeline M. ↓, Gambor H. ↑,
- 85', Lemaitre N. 🟨,
- 87', 3 - 0, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Mille A. (A),
- 89', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
- 90', Assoumou J. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Tiendrebeogo J. ⚽, Venot P. (A),
Chances of winning
Troyes
65.6% | Draw
22.9% | Annecy
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troyes's performance.Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Annecy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Annecy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Troyes - Annecy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.6) |
4.36 ↑
(4.05) |
9.04 ↑
(5.55) |
1.3%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Troyes - Annecy?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Troyes (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Troyes will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 12).
- Troyes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Annecy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Troyes is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Troyes: Maronnier L.
(Inactive)
Phliponeau A.
(Muscle Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Annecy: Jusseron-Veniere K.
(Inactive)
Lajugie F.
(Injury)
Larose A.
(Inactive)
Makutungu C.
(Inactive)
N'Sakala F.
(Inactive)
Neelakandan R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Assoumou J.
(Injury)
Ripart R.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Troyes will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Annecy?
Troyes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Annecy won against Troyes?
Annecy has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Annecy were as follows:
20.01.2025
Troyes
-
Annecy
0:1
24.09.2024
Annecy
-
Troyes
1:0
17.05.2024
Troyes
-
Annecy
1:1
16.09.2023
Annecy
-
Troyes
0:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
