Aoran Wang vs Koki Matsuda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Shenzhen 4 Challenger Men Aoran Wang - Koki Matsuda
Result
2:0
13/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4 - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
169
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
61%52%
1st Serve Points Won
85% (29/34)84% (27/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (13/22)41% (12/29)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
16% (5/32)15% (5/34)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (17/29)41% (9/22)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
75% (42/56)64% (39/61)
Return Points Won
36% (22/61)25% (14/56)
Total Points Won
55% (64/117)45% (53/117)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Aoran Wang
33.4%
Koki Matsuda
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aoran Wang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aoran Wang's form might have worsened.
  • Koki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Koki Matsuda's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aoran Wang than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aoran Wang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Koki Matsuda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aoran Wang - Koki Matsuda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.24)

    1.4
    (1.6)
    7.4%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Wang is ranked ATP: 1087. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 668.
    • Wang is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Matsuda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Matsuda could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Aoran Wang
    Latest results of Koki Matsuda
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Castelnuovo L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Mo Y. C. (Q)Sultanov K.2 : 0
    3Kotov P.Zhang T. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cui J. (WC)McCabe J. (5)2 : 0
    5Kubler J. (4)Sun F.0 : 2
    6Chung H.Te R. (RET.) (WC)1 : 0
    7Zhou Y.Wang X. (Q)2 : 0
    8Wang A. (Q)Shimizu Y. (7)2 : 1
    9Noguchi R. (8)Uchida K.1 : 2
    10Samrej K.Jung J. (PR)0 : 2
    11Jasika O.Uchiyama Y. (RET.)1 : 0
    12Dev S D P. (Q)Jacquet K. (3)0 : 2
    13Shimabukuro S. (6)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    14Fomin S. (Q)Weber A.2 : 0
    15Honda N. (JR)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    16Harris L.Mayot H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Mo Y. C.0 : 2
    2Kotov P.Cui J.1 : 2
    3Sun F.Chung H.2 : 0
    4Zhou Y. (WO.)Wang A.
    5Uchida K.Jung J. (RET.)1 : 0
    6Jasika O.Jacquet K. (3)1 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S. (6)Fomin S.2 : 1
    8Ferreira Silva F.Mayot H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Mo Y. C.Cui J.0 : 2
    2Sun F.Zhou Y.0 : 2
    3Uchida K.Jacquet K. (3)1 : 2
    4Shimabukuro S. (6)Mayot H. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cui J.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    2Jacquet K. (3)Shimabukuro S. (6)2 : 1

    Final
    1Zhou Y.Jacquet K. (3)