AP Brera Strumica vs Arsimi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football North Macedonian 1 MFL AP Brera Strumica - Arsimi
Result
2:1
22/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. MFL - Round 7

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 🟨,
  • 49', 2 - 1, ,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


AP Brera Strumica
33.5%
Draw
28.8%
Arsimi
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 28.1% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 26% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AP Brera Strumica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AP Brera Strumica's form might have worsened.
  • Arsimi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsimi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AP Brera Strumica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsimi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsimi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AP Brera Strumica - Arsimi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.1)
    3.24
    (3.2)
    2.47
    (3.1)
    7.2%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for AP Brera Strumica - Arsimi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 8 in the zone 1. MFL (Relegation))
    • Brera Strumica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arsimi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Brera Strumica has had a series of away games.
    • Brera Strumica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brera Strumica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Brera Strumica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AP Brera Strumica - Arsimi were as follows:
    26.02.2025 AP Brera Strumica - Arsimi 2:1
    Latest results of AP Brera Strumica
    Latest results of Arsimi
    18.09.2025 Arsimi - Vardar 1:4
    14.09.2025 Pelister - Arsimi 0:4
    30.08.2025 Arsimi - Sileks 0:1
    27.08.2025 Belasica - Arsimi 3:2
    24.08.2025 Shkendija Tetovo - Arsimi 0:0
    North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Struga871020:31722
    2Vardar862020:81220
    3Shkendija862015:41120
    4Sileks850317:8915
    5Bashkimi943212:12015
    6Makedonija GP940512:13-112
    7Brera Strumica933311:16-512
    8Arsimi922513:16-38
    9Tikves82245:10-58
    10Pelister82067:18-116
    11Rabotnicki91269:16-75
    12Shkupi90186:23-171

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          1. MFL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. MFL