AP Brera Strumica vs Pelister – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
26/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. MFL - Round 29

Match Stats

Yellow cards
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Ivanovski M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,

Chances of winning


AP Brera Strumica
25.7%
Draw
27.2%
Pelister
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 28.5% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 28.5% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AP Brera Strumica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AP Brera Strumica's form might have worsened.
  • Pelister has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pelister's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AP Brera Strumica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pelister, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AP Brera Strumica - Pelister Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (2.32)
    3.31
    (3.18)
    1.91
    (2.8)
    11%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brera Strumica won 3.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brera Strumica won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brera Strumica won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AP Brera Strumica - Pelister were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Pelister - AP Brera Strumica 1:0
    18.08.2025 AP Brera Strumica - Pelister 1:2
    13.04.2025 Pelister - AP Brera Strumica 1:2
    29.09.2024 AP Brera Strumica - Pelister 4:0
    Latest results of AP Brera Strumica
    Latest results of Pelister
    14.04.2026 Arsimi - Pelister 1:0
    08.04.2026 Pelister - Vardar 0:0
    22.03.2026 Pelister - Struga 0:2
    North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vardar30235274:205474
    2Shkendija30215462:253768
    3Struga29195567:224562
    4Sileks30165956:292753
    5Tikves291241349:42740
    6Bashkimi301171236:49-1340
    7Arsimi291151346:51-538
    8Pelister30891331:40-933
    9Brera Strumica29891236:52-1633
    10Makedonija GP30861634:48-1430
    11Rabotnicki30851735:53-1829
    12Shkupi ✔ 30012915:110-951

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          1. MFL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. MFL

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Shkupi is Relegated to 2. MFL