Aparecidense vs Floresta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Aparecidense - Floresta
Result
1:1
29/07/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 15
  • Referee: Negreiros J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
96
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
53
Corner Kicks
97
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Yellow Cards
23
Attacks
9793
Dangerous Attacks
9973

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Marcelo ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Du Fernandes ,
  • 31', Andrew 🟨,
  • 45+2', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 84', Buba 🟨,
  • 87', Matheus Alves 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aparecidense
57.1%
Draw
25.8%
Floresta
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 29% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 29.1% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.
  • Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Floresta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aparecidense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floresta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aparecidense - Floresta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (2.07)
    3.52
    (3.15)
    5.33
    (3.41)
    10%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Aparecidense - Floresta?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Aparecidense will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Floresta will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aparecidense: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 13).
    • Aparecidense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Floresta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Floresta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Aparecidense is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Floresta were as follows:
    31.07.2023 Aparecidense - Floresta 0:0
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    Latest results of Floresta
    22.07.2024 Floresta - Sampaio Corrêa 1:0
    14.07.2024 CS Alagoano - Floresta 1:2
    30.06.2024 Floresta - Caxias 2:1
    22.06.2024 Tombense - Floresta 3:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    5Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    6Nautico1355314:6820
    7Floresta EC1354410:11-119
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1344510:12-216
    13Figueirense1336415:14115
    14Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    15ABC1329215:17-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D