Result
1:1
29/07/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 15
- Referee: Negreiros J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 97 | 93 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 99 | 73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Marcelo ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Du Fernandes ⚽,
- 31', Andrew 🟨,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', 🟨,
- 84', Buba 🟨,
- 87', Matheus Alves 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aparecidense
57.1% | Draw
25.8% | Floresta
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Floresta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-12.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aparecidense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floresta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aparecidense - Floresta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(2.07) |
3.52 ↑
(3.15) |
5.33 ↑
(3.41) |
10%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aparecidense - Floresta?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aparecidense will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Floresta will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aparecidense: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 13).
- Aparecidense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Floresta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Floresta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Aparecidense is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Aparecidense won against Floresta?
Aparecidense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Floresta won against Aparecidense?
Floresta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Floresta were as follows:
31.07.2023
Aparecidense
-
Floresta
0:0
Latest results of Aparecidense
Latest results of Floresta
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Nautico | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 15 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
