Aparecidense vs Goianésia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Aparecidense - Goianésia
Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
82
Red Cards
01
Total shots
86
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Wesley ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Kaio Nunes ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Joao Marcos (Pen),
  • 76', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Aparecidense
70.2%
Draw
19.4%
Goianésia
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 21.2% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68% 20.1% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.
  • Goianésia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goianésia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Aparecidense - Goianésia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.4)
    4.68
    (4.25)
    8.76
    (6.25)
    10%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
    • Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 3.
    • Aparecidense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Goianésia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Aparecidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aparecidense is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Aparecidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aparecidense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Goianésia were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Goianésia - Aparecidense 0:3
    02.02.2025 Goianésia - Aparecidense 1:1
    07.02.2024 Aparecidense - Goianésia 1:1
    15.01.2023 Aparecidense - Goianésia 1:0
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    05.07.2025 Aparecidense - Porto Velho 7:0
    29.06.2025 Goiânia - Aparecidense 0:3
    14.06.2025 Aparecidense - Ceilândia 2:0
    07.06.2025 Luverdense - Aparecidense 3:1
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    Latest results of Goianésia
    05.07.2025 Goianésia - Goiânia 1:3
    08.06.2025 Goianésia - Mixto 2:2
    31.05.2025 Mixto - Goianésia 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1