Aparecidense vs Goianésia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
82
Red Cards
01
Total shots
86
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Wesley ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Kaio Nunes ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Joao Marcos (Pen),
  • 76', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Aparecidense
70.2%
Draw
19.4%
Goianésia
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 21.2% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68% 20.1% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.
  • Goianésia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goianésia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Aparecidense - Goianésia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.4)
    4.68
    (4.25)
    8.76
    (6.25)
    10%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
    • Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 3.
    • Aparecidense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Goianésia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Aparecidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aparecidense is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Aparecidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aparecidense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Goianésia were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Goianésia - Aparecidense 0:3
    02.02.2025 Goianésia - Aparecidense 1:1
    07.02.2024 Aparecidense - Goianésia 1:1
    15.01.2023 Aparecidense - Goianésia 1:0
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    05.07.2025 Aparecidense - Porto Velho 7:0
    29.06.2025 Goiânia - Aparecidense 0:3
    14.06.2025 Aparecidense - Ceilândia 2:0
    07.06.2025 Luverdense - Aparecidense 3:1
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    Latest results of Goianésia
    05.07.2025 Goianésia - Goiânia 1:3
    08.06.2025 Goianésia - Mixto 2:2
    31.05.2025 Mixto - Goianésia 3:2
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM53118:6210
    2Sao Raimundo RR52304:139
    3Manauara42207:348
    4Manaus51224:6-25
    5Monte Roraima50323:6-33
    6GAS40132:6-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Araguaina532012:4811
    2Guapore53209:5411
    3Porto Velho521211:567
    4Galvez52127:10-37
    5Independencia51226:515
    6Humaita50052:18-160


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama541010:1913
    2Luverdense52214:6-28
    3Aparecidense52127:617
    4Brasiliense51404:317
    5Primavera AC51225:6-15
    6Inhumas50052:10-80


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goiatuba541010:3713
    2Capital53115:3210
    3Ceilandia52123:307
    4Mixto51314:406
    5Uniao Rondonopolis51135:10-54
    6Operario VG50143:7-41


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba52308:539
    2Trem42207:438
    3Imperatriz41305:326
    4Tuna Luso51316:606
    5Oratorio51045:9-43
    6Tocantinopolis50324:8-43


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Iguatu53206:2411
    2Maracana52215:328
    3Parnahyba52125:507
    4Moto Club41213:305
    5Sampaio Correa40310:1-13
    6IAPE50235:10-52


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ferroviario53118:5310
    2Fluminense-PI52308:449
    3Piaui52129:817
    4AE Altos52124:7-37
    5Atletico-CE50412:4-24
    6Tirol50234:7-32


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC53118:5310
    2America RN53115:2310
    3Central SC52216:428
    4Maguary52125:327
    5Sousa52033:5-26
    6Laguna RN50141:9-81


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Serra Branca52309:549
    2Treze PB421111:747
    3Sergipe42117:617
    4Lagarto51139:12-34
    5Retro41126:9-34
    6Decisao41125:8-34


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juazeirense54019:5412
    2CSA531110:4610
    3ASA52125:507
    4CSE52128:9-17
    5Jacuipense51135:9-44
    6Alagoinhas51044:9-53


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uberlandia54018:4412
    2Ivinhema53117:5210
    3CRAC52124:317
    4Betim52125:507
    5Operario MS50323:6-33
    6Ouvidorense50232:6-42


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA53026:9-39
    2Tombense52214:138
    3Rio Branco ES52217:528
    4Democrata GV42113:217
    5Vitoria ES42027:436
    6Real Noroeste50142:8-61


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa53208:3511
    2Agua Santa53028:449
    3Portuguesa RJ52217:258
    4America RJ51224:11-75
    5Madureira51136:8-24
    6Pouso Alegre51132:7-54


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba52309:549
    2Velo Clube52215:328
    3Sampaio Correa FE52215:508
    4Marica52125:507
    5Noroeste51224:5-15
    6Nova Iguacu50232:7-52


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville53207:3411
    2Cianorte53026:429
    3Cascavel52214:228
    4Santa Catarina52129:727
    5Sao Luiz51225:7-25
    6Guarany de Bage50141:9-81


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau54018:3512
    2Sao Joseense53113:2110
    3Marcilio Dias52213:218
    4Brasil de Pelotas52126:517
    5Azuriz50232:5-32
    6EC Sao Jose50232:7-52

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)