Aparecidense vs Goiatuba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Aparecidense - Goiatuba
Result
0:2
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
73
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Jhoninha ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 2, Bruno Nunes ,

Chances of winning


Aparecidense
51.4%
Draw
29.5%
Goiatuba
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 25.2% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 24% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • The chances for Goiatuba have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aparecidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiatuba than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Aparecidense - Goiatuba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.63)
    3.13
    (3.6)
    4.84
    (4.75)
    8.3%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-2. 2nd leg.
    • Aparecidense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Goiatuba's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Aparecidense is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Aparecidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Goiatuba were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Goiatuba - Aparecidense 2:3
    16.02.2025 Goiatuba - Aparecidense 1:0
    18.02.2024 Aparecidense - Goiatuba 1:1
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    17.08.2025 Goiatuba - Aparecidense 2:3
    09.08.2025 Aparecidense - Maricá 2:2
    02.08.2025 Maricá - Aparecidense 1:2
    19.07.2025 Mixto - Aparecidense 0:0
    Latest results of Goiatuba
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1