Aparecidense vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
2:2
24/06/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 10
  • Referee: Guimaraes Junior I. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
176
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
103
Corner Kicks
86
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Yellow Cards
24
Attacks
12880
Dangerous Attacks
10270

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 31', Julio Cesar , Rhuan ,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Rhuan ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Paulo Sergio ,
  • 42', Joecio 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 2, Renato ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Robert , Juninho ,
  • 47', Gustavo Maia 🟨,
  • 54', Marco Antonio , Wendel Lessa ,
  • 59', 2 - 2, Rubens ,
  • 64', Rubens 🟨,
  • 66', Gustavo Maia , Kauan ,
  • 67', Diego Matos , Luiz Paulo ,
  • 68', Paulo Sergio 🟨,
  • 70', Arnaldo , Danilo Belao ,
  • 70', Renato , Marco Antonio ,
  • 73', Guilherme Nunes 🟨,
  • 80', Du Fernandes , Luan Martins ,
  • 80', Guilherme Nunes , Matheus Chaves ,
  • 87', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aparecidense
45.6%
Draw
30.4%
Náutico Capibaribe
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 31.2% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 30.4% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.
  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aparecidense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.29)
    2.99
    (2.95)
    3.8
    (3.2)
    9.8%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aparecidense will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 14).
    • Recent matches Aparecidense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Náutico is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Aparecidense will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
    13.05.2023 Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe 3:0
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    5Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    6Nautico1355314:6820
    7Floresta EC1354410:11-119
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1344510:12-216
    13Figueirense1336415:14115
    14Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    15ABC1329215:17-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D