Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL NSW - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
59
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
52
Total shots
59
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
52
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, ,
  • 22', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Rockdale Ilinden
34.8%
Draw
27.7%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 26.4% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 25.8% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • APIA Leichhardt Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that APIA Leichhardt Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.87)
    3.3
    (3.43)
    2.44
    (2.15)
    9.4%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. APIA Leichhardt (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Rockdale Ilinden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 23:60. (average 1.2:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rockdale Ilinden won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1:4
    30.03.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Rockdale Ilinden 4:3
    28.07.2024 Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2:1
    21.04.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Rockdale Ilinden 3:2
    28.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1:2
    Latest results of Rockdale Ilinden
    Australian NPL NSW Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sydney Utd440012:5712
    2St George Saints43106:0610
    3Marconi Stallions43017:349
    4Sydney FC U2343018:629
    5Rockdale Ilinden43018:719
    6APIA Leichhardt42118:627
    7NWS Spirit42025:8-36
    8St. George City41213:305
    9Manly Utd41213:4-15
    10Sydney Olympic41129:814
    11Blacktown City41127:704
    12WS Wanderers U2141036:603
    13Sutherland Sharks41034:6-23
    14Wollongong Wolves41032:7-53
    15SD Raiders40135:11-61
    16UNSW40134:10-61

          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          NPL NSW (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ NSW League One