Aris Limassol vs APOEL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cyprus League - Round 26

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
97
Corner kicks
85
Yellow cards
34
Red cards
11
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
93
Corner kicks
85
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1115
Throw ins
1912
Fouls
139

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Mancini D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Diego Rosa , Meyer M. ,
  • 46', Vitor Meer 🟨,
  • 46', Goldson C. 🟨,
  • 49', Sane M. 🟥,
  • 50', Mancini D. 🟨,
  • 57', Vitor Meer 🟨,
  • 62', Marquinhos , Poursaitidis C. ,
  • 65', Kokorin A. 🟨,
  • 68', Kakoullis A. 🟨,
  • 69', Olayinka P. , Drazic S. ,
  • 69', Kokorin A. , Gaustad D. ,
  • 69', Charalampous C. , Montnor J. ,
  • 72', 0 - 2, Tomas M. ,
  • 76', Tomas M. , Gabriel Maioli ,
  • 76', Mancini D. , Degenek M. ,
  • 79', Kakoullis A. , Gomis Y. ,
  • 79', Kastanos G. , Theodosiou M. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Balogun L. ,
  • 90+2', Belec V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aris Limassol
48.1%
Draw
26%
APOEL
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 26.9% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 26.9% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aris Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aris Limassol's performance.
  • APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aris Limassol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Aris Limassol - APOEL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.21)
    3.56
    (3.47)
    3.57
    (3.03)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Aris Limassol - APOEL?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aris Limassol will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Aris Limassol (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Aris Limassol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ))
    • Aris Limassol is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    • APOEL is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris Limassol won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • APOEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Aris Limassol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Aris Limassol: Kalulu G. (Inactive) Nikolic V. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in APOEL: Sotiriou P. (Injury) Stafylidis K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in APOEL: Diamantakos D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Aris Limassol won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aris Limassol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aris Limassol - APOEL were as follows:
    07.12.2025 APOEL - Aris Limassol 2:0
    22.04.2025 APOEL - Aris Limassol 2:1
    15.03.2025 Aris Limassol - APOEL 1:0
    01.03.2025 Aris Limassol - APOEL 3:0
    02.12.2024 APOEL - Aris Limassol 1:2
    Latest results of Aris Limassol
    Latest results of APOEL
    08.03.2026 APOEL - Anorthosis 0:2
    28.02.2026 AEL Limassol - APOEL 2:3
    22.02.2026 APOEL - Omonia 1:0
    15.02.2026 Ethnikos Achna - APOEL 3:2
    Cypriot First Division Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Omonia27195365:194662
    2AEK Larnaca27175550:222856
    3Apollon27166537:231454
    4Pafos27164754:252952
    5APOEL27136845:281745
    6Aris27128750:282244

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