Sorrento vs Aprilia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group G Sorrento - Aprilia
29/01/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sorrento
41.9%
Draw
29.9%
Aprilia
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 25.4% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 24.5% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sorrento's form might have worsened.
  • Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aprilia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sorrento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aprilia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sorrento - Aprilia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.65)
    3.02
    (3.54)
    3.2
    (4.48)
    10.9%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sorrento - Aprilia were as follows:
    27.09.2022 Aprilia - Sorrento 0:2
    Latest results of Sorrento
    27.01.2023 Cockburn City - Sorrento 1:2
    22.01.2023 Palmese 1914 - Sorrento 1:0
    18.01.2023 Sorrento - Angri 3:0
    15.01.2023 Portici - Sorrento 2:2
    Latest results of Aprilia
    22.01.2023 Aprilia - Portici 0:0
    14.01.2023 Atletico Uri - Aprilia 2:1
    06.01.2023 Aprilia - Angri 3:1
    21.12.2022 Aprilia - Vis Artena 0:0
    18.12.2022 Casertana - Aprilia 3:4
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1